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    Iván Fernández
    Iván Fernández
    BBVA Research - Senior Economist

    Iván Fernández specializes in the macroeconomic and financial analysis of Mexico and the United States. He holds a BSc in Economics and an MSc in Finance from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM). He passed all three exams of the CFA Program on his first attempt.

    Previously, he worked in the public sector as Director of Financial Oversight in the National Commission of the Retirement Savings System (CONSAR). In the private sector, he served as the Evaluation Coordinator of the Financial Education Program of BBVA Mexico.

    He teaches statistics and econometrics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM).

    Latest publications

    July 25, 2024

    US | Are higher risk premia preventing long-term yields from falling further?
    The futures market is almost fully pricing in that the Fed will cut rates by 50 bps this year (95% implied chances) and continue to anticipate roughly 100 bps worth of rate cuts next year. Markets are certain of a rate cut in September, but are also likely pricing in risks in the event of a Trump’s second term.

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    June 28, 2024

    Mexico | Banxico holds rates steady
    Board members voted 4-1 to hold rates steady at 11.00%. The fact that the decision wasn’t unanimous came as a bit of surprise considering the recent peso weakening and that Banxico was set to revise up its short-term headline inflation forecasts.

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    June 27, 2024

    US | Treasury yields reflect the view that disinflation likely resumed in 2Q
    Mid- and long-term Treasury yields eased further from their late-April’s highs on a less hawkish than expected Fed in this month’s meeting, and fresh signs that the inflation jump in 1Q will prove transitory.

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