Iván Fernández
Iván Fernández
Senior Economist
Mexico City

Iván Fernández specializes in the macroeconomic and financial analysis of Mexico and the United States. He holds a BSc in Economics and an MSc in Finance from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM). He is a CFA Charterholder who passed all three levels on the first attempt.

Previously, he worked in the public sector as Director of Financial Oversight in the National Commission of the Retirement Savings System (CONSAR). In the private sector, he served as the Evaluation Coordinator of the Financial Education Program of BBVA Mexico.

He teaches statistics and econometrics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM).

Latest publications

The Fed is attempting to reverse this downshift saying it is set to keep policy “sufficiently restrictive for some time”. Next week, the FOMC will agree to slow rate hikes again and will discuss how much further to go.
However, the Fed is not convinced that inflation is “on a sustained downward path”, and thus, it will try to reverse the recent downshift of the yield curve.
We expect lower growth and inflation in 2023. GDP would grow 3.0% in 2022 driven by the manufacturing sector. We stick to our 0.6% GDP growth forecast for 2023 but with an upward bias considering the 3Q22 data, INEGI’s revisions, and the effect of nearshoring.