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April 4, 2025
This study analyzes the macroeconomic effects of carbon price shocks (EU-ETS) via a SVAR with Narrative Sign Restrictions. Facilitating identification and isolating shocks from demand factors, results indicate a stronger economic impact than previous carbon policy studies, but milder than recent works focused on the EU-ETS.
March 18, 2025
Using a panel data local projections model and controlling for firm characteristics, procurement bid attributes, and macroeconomic conditions, the study estimates the dynamic effects of procurement awards on new lending, a more precise measure than the change in the stock of credit.
March 6, 2025
This Working Paper examines the transmission of monetary policy shocks to the macroeconomy at high frequency. To do this, daily consumption and investment aggregates are constructed using bank transaction records and administrative data to measure daily gross output and employment in Spain.
January 9, 2025
This Working Paper provides a brief description of the latest update of RegData, a database containing the main economic and demographic aggregates for Spanish regions over the last seven decades.
November 12, 2024
Tourism activities are highly dependent on weather conditions, and hence, vulnerable to the impact of climate change. Our analysis of Turkish tourism demand within the context of climate conditions points to possible changes in seasonality and quantity of tourism flows across provinces, depending on their tourism type.
October 25, 2024
This study examines how inflation in 2021 affected wealth inequality in Spain through three channels: the traditional wealth channel, the income channel, and the relative consumption channel. The wealth and income channels had significantly larger effects than the consumption channel.
September 20, 2024
Climate is a relevant factor in the choice of a tourist destination. Changes in climate conditions could alter the seasonal and geographical pattern of tourism in Spain, with the impact depending on the adaptation policies implemented.
September 11, 2024
This paper examines the performance of Random Forest models in forecasting short-term monthly inflation in Argentina, based on a database of monthly indicators since 1962.
August 6, 2024
This Working Paper analyzes the settlement payment for 2022 under the common system of autonomous communities financing, recently published by the Ministry of Finance.
May 20, 2024
Joint project with the IMF to analyze the evolution of e-commerce in Spain during and after Covid. The secular positive trend in e-commerce is well alive. The pandemic's boost was temporary with a moderating trend once the restrictions were lifted. Significant heterogeneity by individuals and categories of consumption
May 6, 2024
Based on the endogenous growth model of Lucas (1988 and 1990), in this Working Paper we propose a method to measure the total contribution of human capital to the variance of GDP per capita in a large sample of countries from 1960 to 2015.
