China Economic Outlook: First Quarter 2012

Summary

China’s economy continues to slow at a moderate pace. The deceleration reflects the impact of deliberate policy actions through the middle of 2011 to prevent overheating and, more recently, the effect of slowing external demand on export growth. While downside risks remain, we believe the economy is averting a hard landing, thanks to robust domestic demand and a gradual loosening of the policy stance.

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