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November 15, 2024

Mexico | All members are now on board with the rate cut cycle

A majority will remain determined to continue the easing cycle over the coming months, but we now expect Banxico to lower the policy rate to 8.00% by the end of next year (up from our previous 7.50% forecast).

November 12, 2024

Mexico | Banxico is set to keep cutting rates amid cooling core services inflation

Banxico is likely set to cut the policy rate by 25 bps this week in a backdrop of easing core services inflation, which is starting to turn a corner amid a challenging context for economic activity.

November 8, 2024

Peru | BCRP resumes normalization of the policy rate, bringing it closer to neutral

In its November meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains above neutral.

October 28, 2024

Europe | The ECB steps on the accelerator

A little over a month and a half ago, after the September monetary policy meeting, it was considered unlikely that the European Central Bank (ECB) would cut interest rates in October.

October 21, 2024

Latam | Low growth: not just a fleeting phenomenon

In recent years, the main economies of Latin America have successfully achieved a rapid and marked adjustment in their monetary policy in an attempt to curb rising inflation. Today, most of them have inflation at around their average for the last 10 years.

October 16, 2024

Europe | Inflation converging to target, growth in play

The European Central Bank (ECB) can take satisfaction from recent inflation data from the eurozone. Much of the downside surprise has been due to the drop in oil, but there is also some progress in services prices. Coupled with economic weakness, the scenario is a further interest rate cut.

October 11, 2024

Argentina | Inflation was 3.5% MoM in September, the lowest monthly level in 34 months

National inflation was 3.5% MoM (209% YoY) in September, in line with the average expectation of market analysts (BCRA consensus: 3.5%). This is the first time since Feb-22 that monthly inflation has breached the 4.0% floor.