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April 4, 2025
The 25% tariff that the United States will impose on automotive vehicles (beginning April 3) and auto parts (no later than May 3) will have an adverse impact on the global automotive industry. This is because automotive companies will have to increase production in the United States, reduce costs or raise prices.
April 3, 2025
On April 2, 2025, the White House issued an executive order introducing reciprocal tariffs aimed at regulating U.S. trade and reducing the trade deficit. A baseline 10% tariff will take effect on April 5, while country-specific reciprocal tariffs will be implemented starting April 9.
April 1, 2025
In February 2025, 4,459 million in family remittances arrived in Mexico. Remittances have accumulated a 16-month streak of uncertainty since November 2023, with seven months of contractions, interspersed with months of low growth and other months with increases greater than 8% at an annual rate.
March 13, 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
March 7, 2025
We integrate our findings in export concentration, value added in exports, and economic complexity for Türkiye and Mexico. While both countries have increased their complexity through time, targeted fiscal incentives directed towards competitive industries may help attain more complex products in exports.
March 4, 2025
We estimate the EUR/USD equilibrium exchange rate using a holistic approach that distinguishes between the strengths of the euro and the dollar. Our analysis shows that the current misalignment is due to an overvalued dollar, while the euro remains close to equilibrium, with its role as a reserve currency slightly reduced.
February 27, 2025
The current account surplus in the fourth quarter of 2024 was higher than the corresponding figure for the third quarter of 2024 mainly due to the surplus in the balance on non-oil related goods.
February 19, 2025
Mexico imposes temporary tariffs of 15 to 35% on 155 tariff items in the textile and clothing industry, modifies the Immex Decree to limit access in these sectors. Finally, it establishes a global rate of 19% on products imported through digital platforms from countries without a trade agreement, including China.
February 7, 2025
As of the third quarter of 2024 (3Q24), the trade deficit is 11 billion dollars. In the same period, foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to flow to Mexico. Through 3Q24, the country has attracted 35.7 billion dollars, a slight increase of 1.5% compared to the same period of the previous year.
