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Headline inflation eased further in the US in April, while May data for the Euro Area showed price pressures eased after having picked up in April. That said, core inflation remains sticky overall. In contrast, inflation slowed markedly in China.
June 1, 2023
Despite the increase in remittances in dollars, households in Mexico received 9.7% fewer resources in real terms in April, explained by: 1) the appreciation of the peso against the US dollar of 9.8% between April 2022 and April 2023, and 2) an inflation of 6.3% in the same period.
Banco del Bienestar stops paying remittances in 1,379 municipalities: in 928 (67%), Financiera para el Bienestar has a branch; in 325 (24%) there is a bank branch, correspondent or store to collect them; and in 126 (9%) there is no other paymen…
Inflation pressures ease further, albeit with still-high persistance particularly in Euro Area. The relief in supply chain disruptions continues.
Economic growth through 2023 will be modest and driven by services. A drop in the secondary sector (mainly via Manufacturing) is anticipated due to the slowdown in the economy. Tourist entities lead growth.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) painted a bleak picture in its Sixth Synthesis Report on climate change: the window of opportunity to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement is continuing to close.
This week the meetings organized each year by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank are taking place, just a few weeks after episodes of financial turbulence occurred.
The average social welfare in OECD countries would have decreased by 1.9% during the past decade if the damages caused by CO2 emissions had been internalized. Nevertheless, a net intertemporal gain could have been achieved by preventing the mos…
Banco del Bienestar leaves the remittance market. The gradual loss in its market share could partly explain this decision: in 2018 it was 4.1%, and in 2022 it was 2.4%. Households in rural and semi-rural areas may be the most affected, since th…
Last week the Fed raised the federal funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point. I think they did the right thing, although they face a considerable challenge.
2023 is a year with a heavy electoral calendar, in a context of growing social concern regarding macroeconomic imbalances and a historic drought. We expect sustained pressures in the FX market throughout the year, with consequences on the GDP and financial volatility.
Economic activity is expected to grow 1,9% in 2023, six tenth of a percentage point less than our early-December forecast. This revision considers the social upheaval at the beginning of the year and higher political uncertainty, more than offsetting a milder global activity slowdown. A rebound of 3,0% is expected in 2024.
