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The unprecedented increase in unemployment, large-scale transition to work from home, and lower activity in many face-to-face service industries are leading to demand destruction, higher vacancy rates and rent declines in the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) sector.

Cap rate risk premiums can guide the search for attractive CRE investment and lending locations. Vacancy rates, local and national economic data can be used to model cap rate risk premiums. Based on this, San Antonio and Northern New Jersey appear most attractive in the apartment segment.