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Several days ago, and for the third time this year, the Fed reduced the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to a range of between 1.5% and 1.75%. It is very unlikely that it will lower rates again in December.
In the past week, the International Monetary Fund's autumn economic forecast has been published with a downward revision of growth on a global level.
October 2, 2019
Eurozone | Weaker growth in 2H19 on worsening global trade, but also lower domestic demand
EZ GDP growth is expected to slow slightly further to 0.1% QoQ in 2H19. Available data so far show worsening exports, especially those to other EU countries, and industrial output. There are further signs on more moderate consumption and subdued investment despite improving labour market and favorable financing conditions.
Last Thursday, the ECB maintained interest rates, but has prepared the ground for changes in September in response to the fact that inflation and its expectations have been below target for a long time.
The European election results were less negative than feared by pro-European parties, but it is still too early to determine the changes that may come about in terms of economic policy. Currently, they are contributing to the aggravation of political problems in some countries.
Financial markets rattled for the third straight day as US-China trade tensions festered ahead of crucial negotiations between high-level officials in Washington, starting today. Trump’s rebuke that ‘China broke the deal’, accelerated the sell-off in equities.
The 'risk-off' mood persisted across markets today as global growth concerns mounted in the wake of escalating US-China trade conflict, downbeat China exports data, and a flair-up in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with Iran poised to breach parts of the nuclear deal.
Caution prevailed across financial markets, as US-China trade tensions ratcheted up further today. The slight downward revision in Eurozone growth forecast by European commission did not help either. Safe-haven bonds continued to attract fresh demand, while equity markets declined.