consumer prices

consumer prices latest publications

March 5, 2020

Mexico | Feb inflation forecast:the base-effect driven temporary rebound will not continue

We expect headline inflation to increase 0.22% MoM in February (3.50% YoY), with core inflation increasing 0.37% MoM (3.66% YoY).

February 21, 2020

Mexico | 1HFeb inflation forecast: base-effect driven temporary rebound is set to continue

We expect headline inflation to increase 0.19% HoH in in the first half of February (3.59% YoY), with core coming in at 0.29% HoH (3.76% YoY).

October 3, 2019

Turkey: Inflation again surprised on the downside

Consumer prices increased by 0.99% mom in September lower than the median consensus (1.38%, Bloomberg and BBVA Research). Hence, annual inflation decreased to one digit level of 9.3% from 15% in August, the lowest level since January 2017. We expect annual inflation to get closer to 12.5% at the end of the year.

September 4, 2018

Turkey | Upside surprise from core prices

Consumer prices increased 2.3% (mom) in August slightly higher than our estimate and market consensus (2.0% vs. 2.2%), leading the annual figure to rise to 17.90% from 15.85% in July. Annual core inflation accelerated to 17.2% in August from 15.1% on top of strengthening exchange rate pass-thru and climbing cost-push facto…

December 4, 2017

Turkey: Inflation path deteriorates further

Annual consumer inflation hit 13% mostly due to the sizable pick-up in food inflation and also the jump in both energy and core prices in November. Recent events and rigidity in core prices signal that the range of the CBRT’s expected medium term disinflation path may not to be materialized, thus, monetary policy should be …

November 3, 2016

Turkey: Core Prices Lowered Headline Inflation

Consumer prices rose below consensus (1.44% vs 1.62%) in October, bringing down the annual headline inflation to 7.2% from 7.3%. Sizable fall in core inflation more than compensated the small upward correction in food prices and resulted in a slight fall in the headline figure.

June 3, 2016

Turkey | Inflation stable yet the core improved

In May monthly consumer prices rose 0.6%, slightly lower than market expectations of 0.7%. Annual inflation stayed stable at 6.6%. Although the headline remained constant, underlying factors improved compared to the previous month.