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In January, monthly inflation was 0.92% and annual inflation was 8.35%, very close to the expectations of market analysts, who according to the survey of Banco de la República expected 0.93% in the monthly variation.

In Colombia, the indexation percentage is high and is usually tied to two main indicators: the previous year's inflation and the increase in the minimum wage for the current year. Indexation through inflation would impact 30.5% of the basket and through the minimum wage 27.9% of the basket.

In December 2023, inflation registered a monthly variation of 0.45% and an annual variation of 9.28%. This result was below the expectations of market analysts, who according to the survey conducted by Banco de la República expected a monthly v…

In November, monthly inflation was 0.47% and annual inflation was 10.15%, in line with market analysts' expectations, according to Banco de la República's survey. Thus, the figure decreased by 33 basis points compared to the previous month's fi…

Monthly inflation in October was 0.25% and annual inflation was 10.48%. The result is below the expectations of market analysts, who according to the survey of Banco de la República expected an average of 0.37%.

In September, monthly inflation was 0.54% and annual inflation was 11.0%. The results were in line with market analysts' expectations (0.54% for the monthly variation, according to Banco de la República's survey) and ours (0.50%).

In August, monthly inflation was 0.70% and annual inflation was 11.43%, above the average expectations of market analysts, who, according to the Banco de la República survey, expected a monthly variation of 0.44%.

In July, monthly inflation was 0.50% and annual inflation 11.78%, above the average of market analysts' expectations (0.30%), and even above the maximum expected according to Banco de la República's survey. Compared to the annual change in June…

In June, monthly inflation was 0.30% and annual inflation was 12.13%, slightly below market analysts' expectations of 0.37% (according to Banco de la República's survey), falling for the third consecutive month.

Inflation in January continued to accelerate, reaching an annual change of 13.2% and a monthly change of 1.78%. The figure was slightly higher than expected by the average of analysts in the Banco de la República's survey (1.61%).

In June, monthly inflation was 0.51% and 9.67% year-on-year, in line with market analysts' and BBVA Research's expectations. Core inflation (excluding food) stood at 6.84% in annual change, accelerating 34 bps from the previous month's result.

The transmission lag of monetary policy to the price level is five and two quarters for the US and Mexican economies, respectively. A surprise of 50 basis points in the reference rate would reduce the price level by 0.54% and 0.14% in the US and Mexico, respectively.