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May 14, 2025
April national inflation was 2.8% m/m (47.3% y/y), placing it below expectations (REM-BCRA: 3.2% m/m, BBVA Research: 3.4%) as a result of a more virtuous exchange rate dynamics -post easing of restrictions- than initially expected.
May 9, 2025
Annual inflation in April surprises on the upside (5.2%), driven by regulated items and goods. Core inflation (excluding food) also increases. Doubts persist regarding the speed of future moderation. This result may lead to upward revisions of forecasts and uncertainty about the future monetary policy stance.
April 1, 2025
The CPI increased 0.81% month-over-month in March, driven by weather anomalies and the adjustment in student pensions. In contrast, the decrease in transportation prices and the return to normal fare prices after the Carnival holidays helped moderate inflation.
March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 9, 2025
Monthly inflation in February was 1.14%, while annual inflation stood at 5.28%. This result exceeded market analysts' expectations, as the Banco de la República survey had anticipated a monthly variation of 0.98%.
March 3, 2025
The consumer price index increased 0.19% m/m in February affected by adverse weather conditions (they negatively impacted the normal supply of some foods) and the greater demand for transportation due to carnivals. On the contrary, the decrease in electricity rates attenuated the advance of the CPI.
February 9, 2025
Monthly inflation in January was 0.94%, exceeding analysts' expectations (0.82% projected in the Central Bank of Colombia’s survey). As a result, the annual variation remained stable for the third consecutive month at approximately 5.22%.
February 3, 2025
The consumer price index contracted 0.09% m/m in January. The result for the month is mainly explained by the seasonal normalization after the end of the year holidays (price of poultry products and transportation rates). The interannual inflation rate was 1.9% in January.
January 10, 2025
Inflation closed the year with an annual variation of 5.20%, remaining unchanged compared to the figure recorded in November. The monthly variation was 0.46%, above the expectations of market analysts, who according to the Banco de la República survey expected a monthly variation of 0.41%.
January 6, 2025
The consumer price index increased 0.11% m/m in December. The month’s result is explained by the seasonal increase in transportation prices, while on the other hand food prices decreased. The year-on-year inflation rate was 2.0% in December (center of the BCRP target range).
