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August 4, 2020

Peru | Inflation experiences a transitory rebound in July

Lima's Consumer Price Index rose 0.46% m/m in July, above market expectations (Bloomberg Consensus: 0.06% m/m). With July's monthly result, year-on-year inflation accelerated to 1.9%, compared to 1.6% the previous month.
  • Geography Tags
  • Peru

June 3, 2020

Turkey | May CPI confirms upside risks on inflation

Consumer prices increased by 1.36% in May. Therefore, annual inflation accelerated to 11.39% from 10.94% in April. Depending on the food inflation and the level of exchange rate, headline inflation could stay close to 12% in June before converging to 9% towards the end of 3Q and ending the year at near 8.5%.

June 1, 2020

Peru | Year-on-year inflation accelerated slightly in May

In May, Lima's Consumer Price Index rose 0.20% m/m, above market expectations (Bloomberg Consensus: +0.04%). With May's monthly result, year-on-year inflation accelerated slightly to 1.8%YoY, from 1.7%YoY the previous month.
  • Geography Tags
  • Peru

May 22, 2020

China | Main takeaways from Government Work Report at “Two Sessions”

On May 22th, in the third session of NPC, Premier Li Keqiang delivered the Government Work Report. The report not only summarized the achievements of China in 2019 but also made a blueprint of every perspective of economic and social development for 2020.

May 4, 2020

Peru | Inflation's going down again... and we estimate it's going to continue falling

Lima's Consumer Price Index increased +0.10% m/m, slightly more than the market consensus anticipated (Bloomberg Consensus: +0.04% m/m). With the monthly result for April, year-on-year inflation decreased for the second consecutive month, to 1.7% YoY.
  • Geography Tags
  • Peru

March 18, 2020

China | Forecasting modeling for China's inflation

We are trying to assess a large group of forecasting models’ performance in predicting China’s inflation. Both linear and structural forecasting models are discussed, estimated and evaluated based on some typical criteria such as RMSE, MAE and Theil-U.

January 23, 2020

China Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2020

Chinese economic growth has slightly recovered in the last quarter of 2019, although it continued its medium-to-long-term slowdown trend amid unsettled trade war and domestic structural obstacles. The 2019 whole year GDP growth reached 6.1%, the lowest growth rate for the past three decades.

November 20, 2019

Uruguay Economic Outlook. Second half 2019

We revised Uruguay's GDP growth downwards due to greater global uncertainty.