Headline inflation has been trending down but recently this trend has halted. Core inflation remains sticky. Our supply bottlenecks indicator shows no sign of supply disruptions.
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September 8, 2023
Colombia | August inflation disappoints: reduces, but with demand and supply pressures
In August, monthly inflation was 0.70% and annual inflation was 11.43%, above the average expectations of market analysts, who, according to the Banco de la República survey, expected a monthly variation of 0.44%.
Inflation was 0.38% m/m in August. The rise in the CPI was mainly explained by the rise in the prices of some foods (vegetables, fruits) and fuels.
In July, monthly inflation was 0.50% and annual inflation 11.78%, above the average of market analysts' expectations (0.30%), and even above the maximum expected according to Banco de la República's survey. Compared to the annual change in June…
Inflation continued trending down thanks to the base effect and lower commodity prices, while core inflation barely declined. Inflation goods continued moderating while services inflation remain more sticky.
In June, monthly inflation was 0.30% and annual inflation was 12.13%, slightly below market analysts' expectations of 0.37% (according to Banco de la República's survey), falling for the third consecutive month.
Inflation decreased 0.15% m/m in June. The decline in the CPI was mainly explained by the drop in the prices of some foods (poultry, tubers, and some vegetables), the cut in residential electricity rates, and the drop in fuel prices.
In the global scenario, restrictive monetary policy will contribute to the gradual slowdown. The Colombian economy navigates the waters of an orderly deceleration in the coming quarters and with the capacity to continue growing 1.2% in 2023 and…
Headline inflation intensified its downward trend in most countries in May, while core inflation seems to have left the peak behind, but remains high. Supply disruptions are close to normalized levels but continue to soften.
China's economic recovery came to a halt in Q2 after registering a stellar performance at the beginning of the year due to sluggish external demand, anemic domestic housing market and weak market sentiments. Policy stance has shifted from "prud…
Inflation in May was lower than expected by market analysts, consolidating at 0.43% in monthly terms and at 12.36% in annual terms, lower than the average indicated in the monthly survey of Banco de la República of 0.61%.
Inflation increased 0.32% MoM in May. This was due to the rise in the prices of some foods and restaurants, moderated by the fall in electricity tariffs and fuel prices and the normalisation of transportation costs.