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In 2022, Spanish GDP growth again outstripped the eurozone average. Moreover, import prices rose further, enabling the country to maintain its current account surplus and therefore reduce its reliance on external funding.
The loss of purchasing power, together with the growth of the financial burden and volatility in the markets, may lead to a prolonged period of low growth instead of a moderate, one-off recession.
We will see a very tight market throughout 2023, despite what is likely to be a significant economic slowdown due to various shocks, following the trend seen in recent years.
The energy price situation has turned out better than expected, after it became clear that there would be no gas shortage this winter, partly due to the moderate temperatures. Even so, the natural gas market will remain under strain at least th…
The crisis of 2022 has central banks striving to avoid the sins of the 1970s, fiscal policy resisting to avoid repeating the mistakes of 2009 and 2012, and the new international order trying to learn lessons from what happened 100 years ago.
Christmas is approaching and, as is customary every year, some of us will be thinking about what resolutions to make for the new financial year. For the second year in a row, we should include something or other to bring down inflation.
Monitoring and forecasting inflation in Europe in recent quarters has been a real headache for analysts, with continuous upward reviews due to a steady succession of unforeseen shocks that are not down to typical demand or oil price pressures.
At the height of the storm, we are seeing the world slowing down as inflation remains high, partly due to high commodity prices... a relentless bidding war between supply and demand from which neither will benefit.
BBVA Research expects GDP growth to reach 1.0% in 2023, down from 4.4% in 2022, which would push back the prospect of returning to pre-pandemic levels at least until the end of the year.
European Commission proposals to mitigate the impact of electricity price inflation on households disposable income and business costs must consider how they affect security of supply and decarbonization.
For the second time in a row, the ECB has struck with aggressive rate hikes, this time by 75 basis points. A magnitude more or less pre-announced in the last few days, when in July the expectation was increasing by 50.
Inflation continues to rise on both sides of the Atlantic, albeit at a different pace, reaching around 9% year-on-year in June in both economies. However, economic activity and inflation are being affected by shocks waves that are hitting them unevenly.
