Draghi latest publications
In a relatively relaxed press conference- Draghi’s last one as ECB President- , he provided a dovish tone, in line with his entire presidency. He did not give any hints about action to be taken in the short term, trying not to tie the hands of his successor, Mrs Lagarde. We expect the ECB to remain on hold.
The ECB kept rates unchanged but reintroduced the easing bias on rates, requested studies on further measures and, importantly, started talking about a symmetric inflation aim.
Central banking forums are particularly interesting, providing as they do an environment where one can take a step back from the volatile present and, even more importantly, take perspective and ask oneself where it is that we are heading.
The ECB strengthened its forward guidance on rates, with no rate hikes at least through the first half of 2020 in response to the increase and persistence of global uncertainty. The ECB opens the possibility to further easing if needed.
April was a transition meeting for the ECB, with no changes in the forward guidance and little information on hot issues (liquidity measures and tiered-deposit rates). Still, Draghi sounded dovish on the macroeconomic outlook and his reiteration that they are ready to act with all available instruments. We expect details on…
The ECB strengthened its forward guidance on rates, with no rate hikes at least through the end of 2019. They also launched a new series of TLTROs. The central bank made a significant downward growth revision in 2019, but minor changes in the medium term. Despite the revision, risks remain tilted to the downside.
The ECB is assessing the extent of the slowdown before discussing monetary policy measures. The balance of risks has moved to the downside. No modification in the policy or forward guidance, but the door is open for changes in the coming months.
There were no changes in the ECB’s monetary policy stance. The key interest rates are expected to remain “at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019”. The end of the APP is on track, and the Italian crisis is not affecting the ECB’s plans. The ECB confirmed that risks for economic outlook remains broadly ba…