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How is Latin America affected by the recent difficulties facing certain banks in the US and Europe? In all honesty it is too early to tell, but any eventual impact would be indirect and would not happen via the Latin American banking system.
The Colombian economy will moderate its growth, from high levels of activity, mainly due to lower private consumption. GDP will grow 0.7% in 2023 and 1.8% in 2024, after a gradual recovery from the end of this year. Inflation will gradually decline, ending this year at 9% and 2024 at 5%.
We study the transmission of monetary policy shocks using daily consumption, corporate sales and employment series. We find that the economy responds at both short and long lags that are variable in economically significant ways.
On December 16, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador proposed an initiative to reform the Aviation Law that would authorize foreign airlines and parastatals to operate in Mexican territory.
Mexico consolidates as the second country that receives the most remittances, it will surpass China by more than 7 billion dollars, which is in third position in 2022. Despite the adverse economic conditions, the World Bank forecasts that world…
The deviations from the targets agreed with the IMF triggered a deterioration of expectations and the economic situation, deepened by political tensions. Economic activity will slow down more than expected in the coming quarters.
Industrial Production (IP) surprised on the upside, increasing 13.3% yoy in calendar adjusted terms (vs our expectation of 10% and consensus of 7.5%). We expect GDP growth to be 2.5% in 2022.
Industrial Production (IP) increased by 11.4% yoy in calendar adj. terms (14.7% yoy in raw series) in November higher than the market expectation of 8%. We expect 2022 GDP growth to be realized as 3.5%.
El pasado jueves 30 de septiembre el presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador envió a la Cámara de Diputados una iniciativa de reforma constitucional en materia eléctrica consistente en fortalecer la participación y atribuciones de la Comisión Fe…
In August, the BBVA Consumption Index fell (-)1.9% MaM (sa), which adds to the low growth of July (0.4%), pointing to a slowdown in pent-up demand in 2H21.
Turkish economy grew by 7.0% in yearly terms in 1Q21 and 1.7% in quarterly terms implying no moderation compared to 4Q20. Current strong momentum, ongoing credit growth and positive global outlook put upside risks on our prudent 2021 growth forecast of 5%.
The global economy keeps recovering in spite of the uncertain epidemiological context. World GDP growth should be 5.9% in 2021. The worsening health situation slows down economic activity in Uruguay, which will grow less than expected in 2021.
