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The Colombian economy expanded by 0.6% in 2023. The deceleration accentuated in the second half. Domestic demand contracted by 3.8%, weighed down by a decline in investment and the modest increase in private consumption. The external sector propelled the GDP, aided by a reduction in imports and the resilience of exports.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently published its updated global forecast with an upward revision that reflects moderate optimism for this year, plagued by geopolitical uncertainties.

In 2021, Mexico contributed 1.4% of global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions, ranking it in second place in Latin America. Mexico's main emissions in 2021 were carbon dioxide (63.9%), methane (27.7%) and nitrous oxide (5.1%). By sources of origin,…

In December, a loss of 385 thousand jobs was recorded, marking the strongest seasonal adjustment since 1998. Employment closed the year with an annual growth of 3.0% but was below consensus expectations. The monthly decrease in employment (-)1.…

In 2022, 34.7 million adults had at least one formal financial product in Colombia. This is more than fourteen million more than in 2012. With this, in the last decade, the percentage of adults with some financial product increased from 67.2% t…

Inflation peaked in 2022 before easing considerably in 2023 in most economies. For instance, the average inflation rate in the United States dropped from 8.0% in 2022 to around 4.1% in 2023, while in the eurozone it fell from 8.4% to nearly 5.6%.

Prioritizing the resolution of educational problems and the reduction of economic informality is crucial. These efforts could pave the way for a more robust economy in Mexico, characterized by higher-paying jobs. Neglecting to address these challenges would perpetuate inequality and poverty.

The slowdown of the economy is supported by a strong contraction of investment over the already weak levels reported in recent years, which is one of the main challenges for the future of the Colombian economy.

Turkish economy grew by 5.9% y/y in 3Q, above the market consensus of 5.3% but parallel to our expectation of 6%. We expect GDP growth rate to be 4.5% in 2023 but decelerate to 3.5% in 2024 with a bias to the downside.

The report aims to identify the fundamental differences between China and Japan, highlighting key distinctions to conclude that China will not experience "Japanization" or a "balance sheet recession."

The current macrofinancial environment in the Latam region has both positive and negative factors affecting banking activity.

Over the last decade, Spain has shown signs of a divergence in its GDP per capita with respect to the European Union. In these circumstances, it is not surprising that the Recovery, Transformation and Resilience Plan (PRTR) and European funds have generated expectations of a reversal of this trend.