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Over the last decade, Spain has shown signs of a divergence in its GDP per capita with respect to the European Union. In these circumstances, it is not surprising that the Recovery, Transformation and Resilience Plan (PRTR) and European funds have generated expectations of a reversal of this trend.

37.8% of the population in Mexico was in a situation of working poverty as of the second quarter of 2023, that is, close to 49.6 million people in the country were not capable of covering the cost of the food basket with their labor income.

Turkish economy grew by 3.8% in 2Q23 in annual terms slightly above the market consensus of 3.5% (vs. our expectation of 4.5%), which corresponds to 5% GDP growth if the calendar day adjustment is made. We expect GDP growth to materialize in th…

In the second quarter of 2023, the colombian GDP grew 0.3% YoY. Domestic demand decelerated sharply, mostly explained by investment, which implied a double-digit drop in total imports. For 2023, BBVA Research maintains the GDP growth forecast a…

In the last thirty years, Chile has experienced an economic miracle. It went from having a GDP per capita 50% lower than that of Mexico in 1974 to one 47% higher than our country in 2022.

In June, formal employment slowdown, reaching one of its lowest levels since 1998. Despite this, in cumulative figures from January to June, it represented a growth of 2.4%, a 0.2pp increase compared to the previous year, indicating strength in the labor market.

BBVA Research and the Mexican Association of Private Industrial Parks (AMPIP) conducted a survey to quantify and anticipate the effects of nearshoring in Mexico. Results assert the interest of companies to operate in Mexico and anticipate more firms to arrive within the next couple of years.

Everything indicates that the country's economic growth in the first half of this year will be good and higher than expected. The year's first quarter growth (QoQ) was 1%, which implies a growth rate greater than 4% in annualized rates

After the pandemic and the end of the construction of the third pulp mill, the Uruguayan economy faces a couple of years of moderate growth. However, in the long term, recent improvements in the sovereign risk rating reinforce the institutional…

Growth in 2023 is revised upwards to 2.4% and downwards in 2024 to 2.1%. The improvement is explained by statistical revisions and export developments. There are doubts about the sustainability of the pace of expansion and job creation in 2024,…

As of the first quarter of 2023, labor poverty decreased by 1.1 percentage points in annual terms. Thus, 37.7% of the population in Mexico is in labor poverty, which implies that 48.6 million people cannot buy a food basket with their labor income.

In the first quarter of 2023, GDP grew 3.0% YoY and domestic demand fell 0.1% YoY, due to the deterioration of fixed investment and inventory deaccumulation. External demand contributed positively to growth. BBVA Research has a slight upward bias in its GDP growth projection of 0.7% in 2023.