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October 6, 2022

China Economic Outlook. October 2022

Chinese economy has experienced a bumpy recovery after the Shanghai lockdown was lifted. We lowered our 2022 prediction from 4.5% to 3.6%.

September 16, 2022

China | The economy shows resilience amid policy support

Chinese economy shows resilience in August after a bumpy recovery path since the Shanghai lockdown lifted amid the easing of fiscal and monetary policy support.

August 16, 2022

China | A bumpy recovery amid “zero Covid” and real estate crash

July’s indicators, namely retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment, all fell below their previous readings and significantly missed the market expectations, posing challenges to the whole year growth outlook.

July 19, 2022

China Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2022

Chinese authorities face "Impossible Trinity" of policy targets in 2022. They reverted to “old" economic growth engine-infrastructure, real estate and exports-to stimulate growth from Shanghai lockdown.

July 15, 2022

China | Growth is recovering from its Q2 trough

Due to the authorities’ expansionary monetary and fiscal policy this year, the economy started to gradually recover in May and June as the lockdown measures in Shanghai came to an end.

June 15, 2022

China | The economy gradually bounced back amid policy support and pandemic ease

The economy seems to gradually recover in May as the lockdown measures in Shanghai came to an end and the authorities have pressed ahead with monetary and fiscal stimulus measures.

May 17, 2022

China | “Impossible Trinity” of 2022 Chinese economy

Chinese authorities face the “Impossible Trinity” of policy setting in 2022 among “zero tolerance” COVID policy, synchronized monetary policy and 5.5% growth target.

April 8, 2022

China Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2022

China’s domestic uncertainties particularly the Covid-19 situation dominate external uncertainties as the main risks for growth. Two Sessions sets growth target at 5.5% and promulgated the stimulus package for 2022 to support growth which is unsynchronized with main central banks’ tightening measures.