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May 21, 2025
In 2024, the Region of Murcia's GDP could have grown by 3.6%, and is expected to increase by 2.9% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. The dynamism of the public sector, tourism and consumer spending, and the recovery of agricultural exports explain this year's strength, while domestic demand is gaining ground.
May 19, 2025
The observatory analyzes the cyclical behavior of GDP and exports in Spain up to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a negative gap in GDP per working age population (WAP) compared to its trend level (-0.9 pp), although its growth slightly exceeds the historical trend.
March 19, 2025
Tourism and consumption continue to drive growth toward the Mediterranean and the islands in 2025, but the prospect of a slowdown persists toward 2026 in a context of high uncertainty that delays the acceleration of export-producing regions.
March 7, 2025
We integrate our findings in export concentration, value added in exports, and economic complexity for Türkiye and Mexico. While both countries have increased their complexity through time, targeted fiscal incentives directed towards competitive industries may help attain more complex products in exports.
February 26, 2025
Aragon's GDP growth in 2024 could have reached 3.0%, and will continue with an increase of 2.2% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026. The dynamism is supported by domestic demand, favoured by the fall in inflation and interest rates and the increase in wages and employment.
February 5, 2025
In 2024, the Spanish economy showed positive dynamics driven by domestic consumption and tourism, which also introduced heterogeneity in regional developments. As a result, Mediterranean regions and the islands were generally the ones leading growth once again last year.
January 23, 2025
In 2024, growth is revised upwards due to the boost in domestic consumption and tourism. The end of the drought, the improvement of the European economy, and the reduction of interest rates will help sustain growth, affected by the impact of the dana and possible changes in tariff policy in the US.
January 20, 2025
The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.
December 9, 2024
It may well be negative in the short run, although it should be cushioned by the relatively low direct exposure of the Spanish economy to trade with the US. In the medium term, the outcome will be determined by the goals set by the new US President and the economic policy responses, both in the eurozone and in Spain.
November 14, 2024
Sales of goods abroad are 2.4% below the levels of two years ago. In that time, exports of services have increased by 24% and GDP has increased by 5.6%. This divergence is not normal.
