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Portugal: growth forecast for 2017 and 2018 raised

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Available data point to a stabilisation of GDP growth during 2Q17 at around 0.5% QoQ, SWDA1. This estimate is likely to be the result of the continued growth of private consumption and the positive contribution of both the construction sector and tourism.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Questions about the recovery

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Should wages be increased? If so, by how much? Can the export sector continue to drive growth in employment? Is a bubble being formed in the property market? These are some of the questions that will be asked now that the Spanish economy is entering a phase of prolonged growth.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Turkey: Another Positive Growth Surprise

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1Q17 GDP surprised positively by growing 5% YoY compared to the market (3.4%) and our expectations (3.2%). Net exports and public spending were the main drivers of growth while the positive surprise factor was the solid private consumption growth. The risks on our 3% whole year growth forecast are clearly on the upside.

Units:
Geographies:Turkey

Available in English

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Portugal: growth once again surprise positively in 1Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 1Q17 accelerated to 1.0% QoQ, surpassing the BBVA Research estimate (0.2% QoQ). The quarterly growth was due to the positive contribution of external demand (0.8pp), given the strength exports have once again shown in a context of import slowdown.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Spain | Trade balance starts the year with slightly positive signals

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Good trade flows rose in real terms in January, which compensated the observed atony from the end of 2015. All in all, the accumulated deficit in the last 12 months of the trade balance was reduced marginally despite a strong improvement in the energy balance.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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Spain | Trade deficit slightly moderates in 2015

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Both real good exports and imports took a step back in December, which did not stop the fourth quarter and the overall value for 2015 from closing the year with a positive balance. All in all, the trade balance's accumulated deficit barely varied in 2015, despite the improvement in the energy balance.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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Spain | Trade deficit grows despite improvement in the energy balance

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In November, real good exports and imports behaved slightly better than pointed by central forecasts. Nevertheless, the accumulated deficit in the trade balance grew despite the improvement in the energy balance.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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Spain | September trade balance shows an improvement of trade in 3Q15

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Both real exports and imports of goods recovered in September, closing the third quarter in positive territory. The accumulated trade balance deficit slightly increased again, despite the reduction of the energy bill

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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Spain | Trade balance worsening exceeded expectations in August

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Both real exports and imports of goods surprised on the downside in August, partially offseting the positive start of the second quarter. Despite the relief in the energy bill, the trade balance deficit widened that month.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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Spain | July trade balance beats expectations at the start of 3Q15

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Both real exports and imports of goods surprised positively in July. Trade balance deficit decreased mainly as a consequence of reducing energy bill.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish

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