Fed latest publications
Repo Market: No major spikes in rates. Average daily intervention since 9/17 jumps to $65bn; Fed commits to overnight repo operations at least through January 2020; Several FOMC members suggest introducing standing repo facility.
Repo Rates: Rates continue to stabilize. Fed Open Market Operations: Average daily intervention softened to $47bn this week from $86bn prior. Fed Balance Sheet: Total assets up $185bn since 8/28; Reserves up $101bn since start of turmoil.
In the shadow of the spectacular Teton Mountains in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City held its forty-third Economic Policy Symposium from August 22 to 24. This year, a decade on from the Great Recession, the discussion focused on "Challenges for Monetary Policy."
I'm sure that you all know the story of the emperor who was told by a group of con artists that they would dress him in a suit that was invisible to stupid people. The trick took a long time to be revealed because the emperor, like many of his subjects, was reluctant to admit his own shortcomings despite the evidence.
Central banking forums are particularly interesting, providing as they do an environment where one can take a step back from the volatile present and, even more importantly, take perspective and ask oneself where it is that we are heading.
Just as current medicine cannot predict exactly when someone will suffer a stroke or cancer, economic science cannot predict precisely when the next recession, financial crisis or sovereign default will occur.