House prices latest publications
At BBVA we introduced a new indicator built with Big Data, based on the appraisals used in the bank's regular activity, to strengthen price monitoring in the sector. In addition, we built a set of models to improve estimates in real time.
In this work, a model has been developed to find out the deviation of housing prices from an estimated equilibrium level, both at regional and provincial level, as well as to forecast its evolution. The results obtained show the high heterogeneity of the Spanish real estate market.
In December, neither sales nor mortgage origination made up all the ground lost in October and November, ending the quarter with a loss. This was in a context of job creation, but lower household confidence and greater uncertainty in the sector. New housing permits rose in November after falling for three months.
Home sales grew in September, but at a slower rate. Credit approvals for home purchases nevertheless rose more in October than in previous months. Prices continue to trend upwards, but less sharply in Q3 2018. While building authorizations fell in September, the industry did continue creating jobs.
Edward Glaeser, one of the best economists to study the growth of cities, has called them "humanity's best invention". However, many of us who live in large urban areas are also aware of the negative externalities generated within them. This suggests the possibility that there is an optimal city size, where benefits and det…
The Spanish real estate market continues to perform well. Job creation intensified in October, confidence rose in September and financial conditions remain favourable. Home sales thus grew in August and, while approvals suffered a bit of a correction that month, residential investment has risen substantially in Q3 2018.
The macroeconomic situation continues to favour home sales. Meanwhile, the issuance of new construction permits in April corrected for some of the growth of the two preceding months, although employment in the sector is still rising. This comes on the heels of a first quarter in which home prices went up in all regions, alb…
Real estate fluctuations have important implications for growth and business cycles in China. We investigate how vulnerable are four economic sectors including government, banking, enterprises and households to the prospective price slowdown in the housing market by analyzing the exposure of these sectors on the housing mar…