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Falling interest rates, the gradual recovery in the eurozone and a more positive demographic outlook are expected to boost residential demand, which in a context of relatively limited housing production will lead to house price growth in the current biennium.
Since 2021 housing starts have been lower than homes created. Factors that could limit housing supply include a shortage of land ready to start new developments, regulatory uncertainty and labor shortages. Measures are needed to boost residential construction and rental supply.
The residential market is in a process of adjusting sales due to rising interest rates and the slowdown in neighboring economies, yet the level of sales remains relatively high. Nevertheless, housing prices continue to grow as a result of the s…
This document aims to show the main causes behind the lower growth of housing prices in Spain, and most of its autonomous communities, compared to what has been observed in other developed economies that have faced the same macroeconomic scenar…
In recent months, the country’s real estate market has not been performing as one might expect, in the sense that house prices are not receding as sales decline.
Housing demand will be restricted by the increase in interest rates and new housing production will remain at similar levels to 2019. Unlike in other countries, there are no price imbalances and the moderation in growth will come mainly from used housing.
Housing sales will slow in 2023 due to slower economic growth, rising interest rates and a reduction in savings accumulated in the pandemic. The shortage of supply will make the contraction of permits less intense and the price will remain stagnant. In 2024, growth will return to the sector
BBVA Research present the report on the Colombian real estate sector for the year 2022. This edition covers the dynamics and structure of the sector, its prices and costs, financing and interest rates, the non-residential market and the long-te…
Agency’s ratings have remained stable or changes have been positive in Advanced Economies (AE), despite the negative impact of the war in Ukraine and the monetary policy tightening. On the contrary, rating changes have been mostly negative for …
Today, as recession looms and inflation rears its head, we are likely to see a return to a somewhat gloomy housing market, even if house prices do not actually fall. But how hard will the adjustment be this time around?
Real estate market is starting to feel the economic slowdown and the rise in interest rates. This context justifies a contraction in sales in 2023, despite which the level will remain high. Housing starts will stagnate in 2023 and the nominal price will grow by around 2%.
At BBVA we introduced a new indicator built with Big Data, based on the appraisals used in the bank's regular activity, to strengthen price monitoring in the sector. In addition, we built a set of models to improve estimates in real time.
