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At the end of 2022, the outlook for the residential sector was bleak. It was assumed that house sales and house prices would contract in 2023. Sales fell, but prices rose.. By 2024, the sector is expected to go from strength to strength and to consolidate a change in trend as 2025 approaches.
This document aims to show the main causes behind the lower growth of housing prices in Spain, and most of its autonomous communities, compared to what has been observed in other developed economies that have faced the same macroeconomic scenario.
In recent months, the country’s real estate market has not been performing as one might expect, in the sense that house prices are not receding as sales decline.
Housing demand will be restricted by the increase in interest rates and new housing production will remain at similar levels to 2019. Unlike in other countries, there are no price imbalances and the moderation in growth will come mainly from us…
Going forward, the real estate market will be exposed to factors that will put negative pressure on demand. For example, interest rates are expected to continue rising and the 12-month Euribor is expected to stabilize above 4% and remain there …
The growth trend in the real estate market continues. After the correction, between 2008 and 2014, the sector has not stopped growing in the last few years. This advance was only interrupted in 2020— the toughest stage in the COVID-19 pandemic— which is still affecting the world economy.
GDP contracted by 8.7% in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the same period in 2019, while housing sales increased by 4%. In Spain we are used to housing being the cause of recessions and being one of the last sectors to recover. The vigor of the upturn in purchases has therefore been a surprise.
The real estate market has not yet recovered the tone it had before the last regulatory reforms. Thus, despite the relatively positive determinants of demand, home sales fell in November, which did not prevent a slight rise in mortgages. Supply…
Housing sales grew in December and allowed to close 2016 with an increase of 13.5% per year. Housing prices grew at slower pace, 1.5% year-on-year in 4Q16, and accumulates nine quarters of consecutive increases. New housing permits contracted i…
In April home sales rose more than expected and mortgage loans in May increased after the significant increase in April. In addition, the INE confirmed that the recovery of housing prices continues. Meanwhile, permits moderated in April. Exposu…
