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At the meetings just held in Washington, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised strong concerns over the rampant levels of inflation, the interest rate hikes that may be needed to keep it in check and the risk to the financial system, which has long been accustomed to low rates.
With a better than expected 2022, Argentina will face a complex 2023, with a drop in the level of activity and high inflation that will lead to a stagflation scenario. The main challenges will be the rollover of debt in the local market for challenging amounts and the vulnerability of the FX rate scheme.
The deviations from the targets agreed with the IMF triggered a deterioration of expectations and the economic situation, deepened by political tensions. Economic activity will slow down more than expected in the coming quarters.
The government reached an enforceable agreement with the IMF, avoiding a default scenario. This is good news for Argentina, but its gradual approach does not change the overall macroeconomic scenario, nor does the absence of structural reforms …
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reported on the results of the annual assessment of the Mexican economy for 2019. The IMF approves a new flexible credit line for Mexico. Commercial banking contributed to growth in 1H19. Adjustments fo…
National Corporate Financing Survey (ENAFIN 2018). The International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates its Global Financial Stability Report. Real estate services grow 1.3% in the first half of 2019.
The most frequently repeated words during meetings and conversations last week in Washington were: low growth, political interference, trade war, downside risk, negative rates, financial instability, green economy, uncertainty, unilateralism and fiscal policy.
The Spanish economy is currently solid, although there seems to be a growing feeling of vulnerability. The growth in GDP remained at around 0.6% per quarter at the start of the year, which in annualized terms means a growth rate of approximatel…
The annual and spring meetings of the IMF and the World Bank have taken the pulse of the global economy and assessed its prospects, risks and challenges. There were no surprises in the forecasts. The IMF revised its world growth rate forecast d…
The debate on how to advance towards greater integration in Europe is intensifying with the approach of June, the self-imposed deadline for Europe’s leaders to come up with specific new reforms for the euro zone. The International Monetary Fu…
Two weeks have gone by since the autumn meetings of the International Monetary Fund, where the organisation once again increased its forecast for global growth. Today I want to go over the three macroeconomic subjects on which there was consensus and to highlight the two items that drew my attention the most.
In the IMF's recent annual meetings the question of international banking regulation standards has once again come up, following the prolongation of discussions on the finalisation of Basel III. There is a certain feeling that the international standards are increasingly complex, needlessly wordy and unevenly implemented, w…
