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The end of the pandemic also marked the end of more than a decade of near-zero interest rates, fueled by ample liquidity from central banks.

There was some suspense ahead of last Thursday’s meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) as to the size of the rate hike (between 25 and 50 basis points), with the ECB ultimately choosing the lesser of two evils.

The public deficit appears to be inconsistent with the cyclical position of the Spanish economy. It is contributing to inflation remaining high, in an environment where the unemployment rate is at a 15-year low.

Over the past six months, the euro has experienced a significant appreciation against the dollar, from lows below parity last fall to levels of around 1.10 in recent weeks. This somewhat expected appreciation has come sooner than anticipated.

Housing sales will slow in 2023 due to slower economic growth, rising interest rates and a reduction in savings accumulated in the pandemic. The shortage of supply will make the contraction of permits less intense and the price will remain stag…

Consumption picks up again in the first quarter of 2023, which continues to boost the most touristic regions. Furthermore, the more industrially oriented territories are benefiting from the gradual disappearance of bottlenecks and lower energy costs.

How is Latin America affected by the recent difficulties facing certain banks in the US and Europe? In all honesty it is too early to tell, but any eventual impact would be indirect and would not happen via the Latin American banking system.

The recent financial turmoil in the US and Swiss banking system has exacerbated the already complex monetary policy and inflation outlook, following several years of economic shocks. The central banks have reacted well by separating anti-inflat…

There are initial signs that banking turmoil achieved what Fed’s hawkish rhetoric couldn’t: tighter credit financial conditions. As Powell said, “it doesn't all have to come from rate hikes, it can come from tighter credit conditions.”

The European Central Bank (ECB) had to make a decision in difficult circumstances on Thursday, amid strong financial market turmoil and with the banking sector in the eye of the storm. It raised rates by 50 basis points to 3.50%.

Following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, over the past year, the perception that an economic recession was inevitable in the short term has built up. However, the signs of a recession are now few and far between.

The European Central Bank’s first meeting of the year was expected to be quiet and ‘business as usual’ despite the widely expected 50 basis point hikes in the benchmark interest rate. There were no surprises, but it is difficult for the central bank to decide on and clearly communicate the future path of rates.