It still points to one more 25bp rate hike this year as the Fed is still not fully confident about inflation and feels it needs to strengthen market’s expectations about the need for “higher for longer” rates.
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The strength of the economy and the job market will refrain the Fed from ruling out the chance of an additional rate hike this year. For now, the FOMC will skip and leave its options open.
We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.
Banks maintain levels of capital and liquidity above regulatory minima, along with higher profitability, even with a higher cost of risk. All the portfolios that make up bank credit to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) have registered gro…
The Governance Board did not send any signal about a possible start of a rate cut cycle in coming meetings and continued to signal its intention to keep the policy rate unchanged “at its current level for an extended period.”
Banxico should start a rate cut cycle in 4Q to avoid a further tightening of the monetary policy stance. Some hints about the roadmap for the rate cut cycle will be useful, but seem unlikely in the short term.
With the only change to the policy statement being a somewhat more upbeat assessment of the economic expansion pace, the door for an additional 25bp hike in September remains wide open, but another skip is more likely in our opinion.
Tomorrow’s policy statement and Powell's comments will likely remain hawkish to keep options open despite recent data pointing to cooling inflation. We will look for signals that challenge or support our baseline view that tomorrow’s hike will …
Earlier this month, FOMC members voted unanimously for a skip rather than a longer pause with recent indicators suggesting that economic activity has continued to expand at a modest pace
Banxico kept a hawkish tone and reiterated that it is set to keep "rates on hold for a while extended time".
The FOMC voted unanimously to keep the target range for the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.00-5.25% but a hawkish shift in the updated SEP signaled that, with a more resilient economy and more stubborn inflation, nearly all members think that the Fed needs to do more.
The inter-meeting period was marked by a significant division of opinions among Fed officials: some voting members conveyed a hawkish stance in favor of further hikes, while some others leaned toward a momentary pause in order to carefully assess the effects of the cumulative tightening.