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There is still no clear indication of a severe slowdown in the labor market, though it has weakened more than it initially appears. The slower rate of job creation, coupled with frequent downward adjustments to monthly employment figures, suggests a labor market that remains robust but not excessively tight.
Cantabria will advance in the process of convergence in GDP per capita, and in 2025, the regional GDP could exceed the pre-crisis level by 7%.
Formal employment in Mexico continues decelerating, growing 2.2% in May 2024, 0.2 percentage points lower than the previous month. Job creation is expected to pick up in the third quarter but at a slower pace than in 2023.
The employment resumes growth in April (2.5% year-on-year); this rebound in employment is explained by the negative impact of the previous month's Easter week. A change in the employment creation trend is not anticipated but rather seen as a te…
Formal employment in Mexico showed null monthly variation in March 2024, reflecting a more pronounced slowdown than expected in the year's first quarter. In March, it grew below expectations, partly attributable to the effect of Easter.
Formal employment added 109 thousand new jobs in January, 2.4% less than in 2023, with a marked slowdown in manufacturing and services. Real wage increased 5.6% YoY (15.4% above pre-pandemic), and the total wage bill grew 8.8% YoY (23.9% above pre-pandemic).
In December, a loss of 385 thousand jobs was recorded, marking the strongest seasonal adjustment since 1998. Employment closed the year with an annual growth of 3.0% but was below consensus expectations. The monthly decrease in employment (-)1.7% is primarily attributed to seasonal factors.
Despite the labor market's resilience, the slowdown in job creation in 2023 is reflected by the 2.7 million additional jobs, considerably fewer than the previous year. The unemployment rate in December remained at 3.7%, largely explained by the…
… grows by 0.8% MoM in October, slightly below the average since 2010 (0.9% MoM). With the creation of 173 thousand formal jobs, October ranks as the fourth-highest figure since 1998. However, it stands 1.2 percentage points below the average y…
Job creation in October (+150,000) was lower than consensus expectations (180,000), indicating a slowdown despite solid real GDP growth in previous quarters (4.9% in the third quarter of the year, SAAR).
The formal job creation continues to show strength, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4% in September; in cumulative figures from January to September 757K new jobs have been created, the fourth-highest since 1998.
Cantabria's economy will grow by 2.0% in 2023, and will accelerate to 2.5% in 2024. This will allow a return to the pre-pandemic GDP level this year.
