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Social Security affiliation increased by 31,500 people and unemployment fell by 4,800 in September. Adjusted for seasonality (SA), the number of contributors is estimated to have risen by 47,000, while the number of unemployed decreased by 22,000. In 3Q25, employment grew by 0.5% QoQ (SA) and unemployment dropped by 1.1%.

Social Security enrollment increased by 35,500, and unemployment fell by 25,300. After adjusting for seasonality, the number of contributors rose by 37,700, while the number of unemployed dropped by 10,900. 2024 ended with 750,400 more affiliates and 602,400 fewer unemployed.

The national unemployment rate in September was 9.1%, similar to the 9.3% reported a year ago. Seasonally adjusted, the unemployment rate was below its average level in the first half of the year, which stood at 10.5%. By September, the labor market displayed reduced dynamism, with a slowdown in job creation.

Once seasonality is discounted, both employment (0.4% q/q) and hours worked (0.1% q/q) increased at a similar pace to Social Security affiliation (0.3% q/q). Additionally, the unemployment rate declined (to 11.3%), and the temporary employment rate remained stable (15.9%).

Employment continues to slow down, with minimal monthly increases. According to the IMSS, formal employment grew by 1.8% annually in August, 0.2 points less than in June and July. Seasonally adjusted job creation has shown three months of 0.1% variations, reflecting weakness in annual variations.

Social Security affiliation fell by 9,800 people, and unemployment decreased by 10,800, slightly worse than expected. Adjusted for seasonality, the number of contributors increased by 3,000, 22,000 less than in June, and the unemployed dropped by 4,000. The percentage of affiliates with temporary contracts stabilized.

Social Security contributors rose by 71,100, while unemployment fell by 46,800, aligning with expectations. Seasonally adjusted, affiliation grew by 0.8% QoQ in Q2 2024, slightly higher than in Q1 2024, and unemployment decreased by 2.1% QoQ (-1.8% in Q1 2024).

The January 2024 national unemployment rate was 12.7%, down from 13.7% in January 2023. Seasonally adjusted, the national rate decreased by 0.4 percentage points (p.p.) between December 2023 and January 2024, although it remains above the values observed in the middle of last year.