prices latest publications

May 21, 2019

Mexico |May CPI HoH forecast: fresh food prices likely to drive up ann. headline inflation

Core inflation will likely fall back within the narrow range in which it has fluctuated for the past year.

June 7, 2018

U.S. | Oil Prices Outlook. Second quarter 2018

The geopolitical premium marked the evolution of oil prices in 2Q18. OPEC may decide to boost production to compensate the shortfall left by Iran and Venezuela. Prices will remain supported by robust demand from China, India and the US. We continue to expect convergence to long-term equilibrium as demand growth converges to…

March 21, 2018

U.S. | Oil Prices Outlook. First quarter 2018

Financial market volatility and concerns on raising U.S. production have weighted on prices through 1Q18. However, fundamentals have not changed significantly; thus, we maintain our baseline scenario. Demand will remain supportive of higher prices, but its impact will be compensated by growing non-OPEC supply.

February 8, 2018

Mexico | Fall in inflation the start of a downwards trend

As widely expected, annual inflation declines sharply in January.

December 15, 2017

U.S. | Oil Prices Outlook 2018-2022. December 2017

Further price increases in the short-run supported by robust demand and inventory correction. Geopolitical factors could lift prices further. In the mid-term, supply is expected to catch up with higher prices, intensifying the fight for market share.

September 5, 2017

Inflation: Outlook worsens on core dynamics

In August, consumer prices rose by 0.52%, higher than the consensus (0.1%) and even our estimate (0.3%). FX pass-through mostly on the recent appreciation of Euro, second round price effects and spill-overs from the narrowing output gap continued to be the factors behind. We expect the headline to stay close to 11% before i…

April 12, 2016

U.S. | Import prices in March post first rise since June

Import prices increased 0.2% MoM due to higher fuel prices, but still less than expected. Nonagricultural export prices increased for the first time in ten months. Rising oil prices and the weaker U.S. dollar effect should move prices up going forward
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