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    February 2, 2023

    Mexico | Tax revenue without excise taxes on fuels was significantly overestimated

    Public revenue in 2022 was MXN 422,463 million (1.5% of GDP) above budget due to higher oil-related income and to a lesser extent the performance of non-tax revenue.

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    January 13, 2023

    Mexico | Questionable assumptions for the stability of public debt

    For the stability of the broadest public debt (% of GDP) indicator in the following years, the federal government assumes that public sector borrowing requirements will be reduced from 4.1% in 2023 to 2.7% of GDP in 2024-28 and economic growth forecasts of 2.3% for 2023 and 2.0% for 2024-28.

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    January 9, 2023

    Spain | The return of tax rules and their enforcement

    Spain must combine fiscal consolidation and budgetary stability with growth. It must increase the weight of productive public expenditure over total public spending and improve its efficiency, as a strategy for inclusive progress, in order to r…

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    December 27, 2022

    Global | Annus horribilis for fixed income

    2022 has been a dismal year for the fixed income market in general, including sovereign bonds. As the year draws to a close, bond prices, which move inversely to their yields, have fallen by an average of about 15% globally.

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    October 31, 2022

    Mexico | Windfall public income estimated for 2022 see…

    For 2022 the Ministry of Finance estimates that the loss of revenue collection from excise taxes on fuels will be around MXN 397,600 million (1.4% of GDP) and oil-related income will be MXN 397,840 million (1.4% of GDP) above budget.

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    October 25, 2022

    Spain | Fiscal Watch. October 2022

    Sound budget execution data lead to an improvement in the public deficit forecast to 4.2% of GDP in 2022 and 4.4% in 2023. The reduction of the imbalance will be limited by announced or prolonged measures, by the impact of inflation on spending and by the effect that the slowdown may have

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    September 9, 2022

    Mexico | The 2023 economic package keeps fiscal equilibrium with little room for maneuver

    The economic package reinforces the commitment to fiscal discipline by setting a target of 0.2% of GDP for the primary deficit and stability around 49.4% of GDP for the public debt.

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    August 2, 2022

    Mexico | Oil windfall income will not compensate the l…

    The Ministry of Finance estimates that the loss of revenue collection from excise taxes on fuels will be around MXN 421,600 million (1.5% of GDP) and oil-related income will be MXN 368,710 million (1.3% of GDP) above budget. Consequently, this …

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    July 26, 2022

    Spain | Fiscal Watch 3Q22

    Sound budget execution data introduce positive biases on the deficit forecast in 2022, while the slowdown in activity in 2023 will dampen the cyclical recovery of the government balance. Deficit projections are revised to 5.5% of GDP in 2022 an…

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    July 11, 2022

    Fiscal space in Spain after the pandemic and the new t…

    The COVID-induced crisis has left a legacy of more public debt and higher public deficits in Spain. Moreover, the envisaged path of budget balances makes public accounts more exposed to the existing risk scenarios.

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    May 17, 2022

    Europe | Debt and fiscal rules

    The high levels of public debt that have been building up since 2020 and the need to lower this burden have prompted a debate on fiscal rules relating to national accounts, aside from the matter of Europe approving common financing instruments to address the big strategic challenges that lie ahead.

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    May 12, 2022

    Mexico | Income tax revenue compensates lower income from excise taxes on fuels

    In March 2022 the historic balance of public sector borrowing requirements (HBPSBR) was 46.8% vs. 50.0% of GDP in December 2021. The reduction in such balance was due to the fall of 1.7 and 1.5 percentage points of GDP in the internal and external debt component, respectively.

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