Sovereign risk latest publications
Further improvement of sovereign risk measures across the board, driven by a protracted search for yield, against the background of supportive central bank policies, together with better incoming cyclical data, muted inflation and some de-escalation of global uncertainties (trade war)
Following the financial crisis that led to a European sovereign crisis in 2012, the European Commission developed a roadmap for the creation of the banking union, based on three key pillars: the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM) and the Deposit Guarantee Scheme (DGS).
In recent months we have witnessed a notable compression in sovereign CDS at the global level, in an economic scenario that is full of uncertainty and in which public debt is at an all-time high.
September 13, 2019
The Mexican financial system has shown an orderly adjustment to a complicated environment
Through the “Financial Stability Report” (REF), Banco de México (Banxico) monitors the main risks and vulnerabilities that could affect the stability of the Mexican financial system.
The search for yield and looser monetary policies across the board, favor sovereign spreads compression, despite a worsening global outlook, poorer incoming data and balance of risks, and the lack of improvement of fiscal disequilibria.
Against a background of increasing concerns on economic cycle strength and uprise of global trade tensions, the central banks' more dovish tone helps that financial tensions and global risk aversion remain bounded.
Financial support from the federal government will buy time, but Pemex's credit rating remains at risk. In January, Fitch downgraded the Pemex rating from BBB+ to BBB- after the outlook was revised to negative in October last year.
The crisis has brought with it a notable increase in public debt in the countries affected, especially intense in the peripheral countries of the euro zone. The Greek crisis has fuelled a debate on the treatment of debt holdings in banking regulation and its consideration as a risk-free asset.