Analysis with Big Data
Analysis with Big Data latest publications
In a recent BBVA Research publication, we presented an economic policy uncertainty index based on the content published in the main national newspapers. What lessons about the current economic situation does the index, which is broken down by subject, offer?
The U.S. airstrike against Iranian Quds Forces General Qassem Soleimani triggered high levels of uncertainty in the region as Iran threatened to take revenge and the U.S. warned of further retaliation. Iran retaliated with missile attacks against two U.S. bases in Iraq but U.S. de-escalated the situation.
The protests in Iraq, Lebanon and Iran against government policies triggered questions about the regional stability. Hong Kong pro-democracy candidates gained huge victory in local elections. Social unrest in Latin America intensified in some countries and they should be closely monitored.
Bank assets growth picked up to 7.7% in Q3 2019 supported by a higher loan growth rate. Assets quality worsened and diverged among big and smaller banks. Capital adequacy ratio dropped on faster growth in risk-weighted assets, small banks are facing deteriorating conditions in funding through NCDs and bond market.
November 26, 2019
The use of Big Data at BBVA Research to understand the society, the economy and the world
The text is a key source of information to enrich the analysis. News can be an important source of information on geopolitical events such as sanctions and foreign relations, we can also focus on critical challenges and how the media talks about them.
November 22, 2019
Spain | Understanding the causes of economic policy uncertainty using Machine Learning
In recent months, the index of economic policy uncertainty has recorded the largest increase since 2012. The decomposition of the index using an algorithm shows that the increase has been due to trade disputes and brexit. In October, domestic uncertainty also rose.
The NLP importance in business and economics as a key source of information to enrich business and economic analysis. US corporate quarterly and annual reports provide a comprehensive overview on a company's activities and financial performance throughout the year and future plans.
The US army killed ISIS leader al-Baghdadi. Meanwhile, Turkey brokered separate deals with U.S. and Russia to ensure a safe zone in northern Syria. The UK decided to hold general elections as the EU granted the country a Brexit extension until January 31. The US and China trade war eased with a “phase one” trade deal.