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    July 3, 2019

    Geo-World: Conflict & Protest June 2019

    In June, the dispute between Iran and the United States faced with risky attempts including downing a U.S. drone. European political agenda will be worth monitoring even in the next month due to busy political calendar especially in the U.K. and in Italy. U.S. and China are seeking ways to reinstate trade talks.

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    June 27, 2019

    China Banking Monitor

    Although the non-performing loan ratio remained stable and the capital adequacy ratio still sufficient to meet financial needs, there is a diverging trend between large and small commercial banks. Some small banks are subject to capital shortfall amid deteriorating asset quality and persistent regulations on shadow banking.

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    March 21, 2019

    China | Five facts about outward direct investment and their implication for future trend

    China’s ODI continues its downtrend in 2018 with energy sector outperforms other sectors. The share of Belt Road Initiative (BRI) countries is increasing, while other countries’ sentiments toward China’s investment remain mixed. We project China’s ODI is likely to bottom out in 2019 amid tougher scrutiny at home and abroad,…

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    February 26, 2019

    Upcoming changes in the ECB executive board that could change monetary policy future

    In 2019, the ECB faces a broad reshuffle of its key positions that could change monetary policy future. The first change in executive board has been the substitution of Peter Praet by Philip Lane as chief economist. Using NLP techniques we monitored the ECB members’ speeches to disentangle the contents, as well as the tone…

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    February 8, 2019

    The FinTech Universe through the Eyes of the Media and Social Networks

    FinTech is gaining momentum in financial services due to the important role of technology in reshaping the Financial System. In order to identify the dynamics created by the FinTech ecosystem, we analyse data from the media and social networks.

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    January 10, 2019

    Geo-World: Conflict & Protest December 2018

    U.S. President Trump announced that Washington would pull all of its troops out of Syria. In Europe, 'Yellow vests' protests movement sharply rose in France and spilled over into other European countries, increasing concerns on social stability. The trade truce between China and the U.S. and positive developments in the Kor…

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    December 27, 2018

    Patterns of domestic and cross-border e-commerce in Spain: A gravitational model approach

    This paper presents econometric evidence on the determinants of domestic and cross-border e-commerce in Spain based on BBVA anonymised data. The paper applies the gravity model of trade to explain online credit card payment flows, using all private customer transactions of BBVA for Spain.

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    December 10, 2018

    Geo-World: Conflict & Protest. November 2018

    The conflict in the Black Sea region between Russia and Ukraine escalated in November over the Kerch Strait. The situation has been contained for now, but it is still fragile. US and China agreed on a truce in their trade war, which brought a relief to the markets.

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