Publications

We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.

Since recovering in 2014, the flow of remittances to Mexico has experienced a streak of 11 consecutive years of growth, which will most likely end in 2025. Between 2013 and 2024, remittances increased in nominal terms from $23 billion to $64.7 billion; that is, they almost tripled.

In May, bank deposits and commercial bank lending to the Non-Financial Private Sector (SPNF) registered a widespread slowdown, influenced by weak economic activity and the fading exchange rate effect. Credit grew at a real annual rate of 7.4%, while deposits slowed to a real annual rate of 4.4%.

As a result of the ongoing tight monetary stance, credit growth trend turned into a deceleration from a moderate path. Higher level of real interest rates result in more restrictive financial conditions. Expected rate cuts in coming months and potential ease in regulatory growth caps might reverse this outlook a little bit.

We identify the main drivers of key financial market asset price dynamics, including the Euro-dollar exchange rate and the Bund-US Treasury yield spread, using a sign-restricted SVAR model. The model also facilitates the extraction of a high frequency global macro-financial conditions indicator.

In April 2025, the fade out of the exchange rate depreciation influenced the lower dynamism of the balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the SPNF (8.2% YoY in real terms) and the balance of traditional bank deposits (6.1% YoY in real terms).

Colombia’s economy gains traction through consumption and easing interest rates, while investment gradually recovers. Inflation is declining, yet fiscal risks persist. Global uncertainty—with trade and financial tensions—adds pressure. Moderate growth is forecast for 2025 and 2026.

The tightening steps of the CBRT in the aftermath of the March shock were followed by much tighter financial conditions and additional macro-prudential measures throughout April and early May. Deposit rates rose to their highest level since Dec24. Credit growth maintains its limited growth.