Banks

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits turned into a contraction from 0.5% to -0.4% due to both commercial and consumer credits in the sector.

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated from 0.3% to 0.45% due to consumer credits of public and private banks. Total credits’ 4 week average trend fell however to 0.3% due to lagged impact of Bayram holidays’ week.

Credit to the SPNF maintained double-digit nominal growth rates in May (11.4%) driven by the dynamism of the consumer portfolio, particularly in the automotive segment, and a rebound in business credit. This rebound stemmed from credit to the services sector all across the country.

In June, monthly inflation was 0.32%, and annual inflation was 7.18%, slightly higher than the previous month's figure. The result was close to the expectations of market analysts who, according to Banco de la República's survey, expected a monthly variation of 0.28%.

In April 2024, the balance of traditional bank deposits (sight + term) registered a real YoY growth rate of 3.6%, while the balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) recorded real YoY growth of 5.6%.

Output will grow 2,9% this year (previous forecast: 2,7%), supported by a new pension funds withdrawal. Sectors affected by weather anomalies in 2023 will recover and non-primary sectors too thanks to increased private spending. In 2025, once the impact of pension funds withdrawals is exhausted, growth would reach 2,7%.