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Domestic demand is driving Colombia's economic recovery, with GDP projected to grow by 2.0% in 2024 and up to 3.5% by 2026. Investment and consumption, particularly in durable goods, will fuel growth, while inflation and interest rates continue to decline.

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated in the first week of October from 1% to 0.4% due to both consumer and commercial credits in the overall sector. The upward move in total credits’ both 4 week and 13w trend rates imply though only a moderation in credit growth.

In September, monthly inflation was 0.24% and annual inflation was 5.81%, close to market analysts' expectations, according to Banco de la República's survey (0.27%). With this, the result is 31 bps below the previous month's figure.

We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated in the last week of September from 0.3% to almost 1% due to strong increase in consumer credits in the overall sector. The 13w trend of credit growth as of end of 3Q’24 implies some decelerat…

Domestic demand will lead Colombia’s economic recovery, driven by improved financial conditions that will strengthen consumption and investment. This will provide a significant boost to sectors such as manufacturing and retail. In the long run, increasing investment will be essential to raise the country’s growth potential.

The Board of Banrep reduced its monetary policy rate by 50 bps, bringing it to 10.25%. This decision was split, with 4 members favoring the 50 bp reduction and three members voting for a larger reduction of 75 bp.

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated in the third week of September from 0.6% to 0.3% due to strong contraction in consumer credits in the overall sector.

After 2 weeks of deceleration, the weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated in the second week of September from 0.2% to 0.6% due to consumer credits in the overall sector.

The economic slowdown is already showing effects on banking activity. In July, credit to the non-financial private sector registered a widespread weakening, while traditional deposits grew less than in June, even considering the boosting effect…

The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits continued to decelerate in the first week of September from 0.6% to 0.2% due to commercial credits in the overall sector and consumer credits of private banks, as has been happening since mid-August.

In August, monthly inflation was 0.00% and annual inflation was 6.12%, surprisingly well below market analysts' expectations according to Banco de la República's survey (0.24%). With this, the result is 74 bps below the previous month's figure and accelerates the pace of adjustments of previous months.