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The Fed is attempting to reverse this downshift saying it is set to keep policy “sufficiently restrictive for some time”. Next week, the FOMC will agree to slow rate hikes again and will discuss how much further to go.

In November 2022, the nominal balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) grew at an annual rate of 12.8% (4.7% real), while traditional bank deposits (sight + term) exhibited a nominal variation of 7.5%YoY (-0.3% real).

GDP grew 1.7% year-on-year in November. A somewhat lower figure than the previous month due to lower landings of anchovy. The non-primary component of GDP continued to lose dynamism in a context with less favourable conditions for private spend…

In the era of the mass media, disinformation has become a factor that can cause destabilization, confusion, polarization, and harm to society.

The Consumer Price Index in Lima increased 0.79% month-on-month in December. This was mainly due to the increase in food prices and interprovincial transport (due to increased demand for year-end celebrations).

2022 has been a dismal year for the fixed income market in general, including sovereign bonds. As the year draws to a close, bond prices, which move inversely to their yields, have fallen by an average of about 15% globally.

However, the Fed is not convinced that inflation is “on a sustained downward path”, and thus, it will try to reverse the recent downshift of the yield curve.

According to the Financial Stability Report (Banxico) and the Analysis on the Stability of the Mexican Financial System (IMF), the most relevant risk to the Mexcian financial system is that of additional and sustained tightening of financial co…

GDP grew 2.0% year-on-year in October, a figure somewhat higher than the previous month, with the performance of mining standing out. The non-primary component of GDP, however, continued to moderate in an environment that is less favorable for …

Agency’s ratings have remained stable or changes have been positive in Advanced Economies (AE), despite the negative impact of the war in Ukraine and the monetary policy tightening. On the contrary, rating changes have been mostly negative fo…

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FOMC shifts down from 75bp hikes by raising the fed funds rate by 50 bps to a 4.25-4.50% target range, but signals a more hawkish outlook, keeping an eye on non-housing core services inflation for signals of labor market rebalancing.

The main macroeconomic imbalances, specially the fiscal one, have been curbed in the second half of 2022 after the change of Economy Minister. It will be crucial to maintain this dynamic during the next election year. The current drought entails a severe risk for the agricultural sector and the exports of 2023.