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    November 30, 2020

    Global | Sovereign risk in quarantine

    Public debt levels have skyrocketed globally due to the increase in fiscal expenditure needed for public measures to fight the economic damage caused by the pandemic, and by the effects of the slump in economic activity.

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    November 24, 2020

    Mexico Banking Outlook. Second half 2020

    Credit to the private sector slowed down due to lower demand. The business and consumer portfolios contracted, while the housing portfolio reduced its dynamism. Financing to the public sector accelerated significantly.

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    November 20, 2020

    Global | Impact of COVID-19 on the banking sector

    The crisis caused by COVID-19 is showing its first impacts on the banking sector. Our analysis assesses the impact on the sector of seven factors and its trends: monetary policy, digitalization, regulation, economic growth, new entrants, competitive landscape and government support.

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    November 18, 2020

    US | Nonbank financial intermediation, financial sector stability, and policy implications

    Nonbank financial intermediation represents a large share of the U.S. financial sector. In times of crisis, it has been supported by the primary banking regulator - the Federal Reserve. In the absence of changes in oversight, this could lead to increased moral hazard and financial instability over the long run.
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    • USA

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    November 18, 2020

    Country Risk Annual Report 2020

    Agencies' sovereign ratings and sovereign spreads in the CDS markets have remained relatively stable over the past year despite the current pandemic crisis and the large fiscal and economic activity deterioration, mainly due to the unprecedented support from fiscal and monetary policies

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    November 3, 2020

    Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2020

    In August the credit and deposits of the banking system exhibited more clearly the consequences of the economic recession. However, the stress test carried out by the Stability of the Financial System Board, underlined that the banking sector has liquidity and solvency conditions to withstand adverse economic scenarios.

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    October 29, 2020

    ECB Watch | ECB holds fire, signals more stimulus in December

    Against this background, we expect now the ECB to announce a bold package by December, which would include another PEPP expansion, recalibration of liquidity provisions, and modification to the tiering system

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    October 26, 2020

    Argentina Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2020

    We expect a 13% drop in 2020s GDP. Although activity is slightly improving, high-frequency data is showing a sluggish recovery for 2H20. In 2021, we expect activity to grow by 5.5%. A successful debt negotiation should open a window to carry out structural reforms that lead the country to a sustainable growth path.

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