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The rules versus discretion debate is back on the table, focusing not only this time on monetary policy (where central banks are having a hard time convincing the markets that inflation will return to target), but also on the reform of European fiscal rules.
The end of the pandemic also marked the end of more than a decade of near-zero interest rates, fueled by ample liquidity from central banks.
The MXN has reached 17.55 pesos per dollar, its lowest level since May 2016. This latest movement of appreciation was triggered by the publication of the inflation number for April in the United States, which reinforced the perception that the …
Industrial production (IP) rapidly recovered in March increasing by 5.5% m/m (1.8% m/m cons.), mostly wiping out the impact from the earthquakes. Recent better than forecasted momentum and potential continuation of populist policies after elect…
After 1,192 days of Public Health Emergency of International Importance (PHEIC) due to COVID 19, on May 5, 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) reports that it no longer constitutes an international emergency and concludes the PHEIC, but t…
Consumer prices rose by 2.4% m/m in April, lower than both our expectation and consensus (2.6%, 2.7% respectively), whereas annual inflation came down to 43.7% from 50.5% on favorable base effects. We expect year-end consumer inflation to be 45%, assuming a manageable depreciation of the currency after the elections.
Over the past six months, the euro has experienced a significant appreciation against the dollar, from lows below parity last fall to levels of around 1.10 in recent weeks. This somewhat expected appreciation has come sooner than anticipated.
In March the national unemployment rate was 10.0%, 2.1 percentage points lower than in the same month of 2022. Seasonally adjusted, the unemployment rate in March was 10.0%, down from 10.3% in February and below the 11.0% level around which it …
This week the inflation rate for the first half of April was announced. It was a good number that confirms that the disinflationary process in Mexico is underway.
Inflation pressures ease further, albeit with still-high persistance particularly in Euro Area. The relief in supply chain disruptions continues.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) painted a bleak picture in its Sixth Synthesis Report on climate change: the window of opportunity to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement is continuing to close.
This week the meetings organized each year by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank are taking place, just a few weeks after episodes of financial turbulence occurred.
