Global Economy

Global Economy latest publications

January 24, 2022

Global | The old anomaly of inflation

In early 2022, we face a global economic scenario with an eye still on the pandemic, but with a return to macroeconomic management issues that seemed forgotten for decades—high inflation and the tapering of monetary stimulus.

January 20, 2022

Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2022

The Colombian economy will grow 4.0% in 2022 and 2.8% in 2023, with inflation pressures that will gradually moderate from the second half of this year. The monetary policy intervention rate will turn contractionary in mid-2022. The great challenge for the economy is to increase formal employment and generate more savings.

January 13, 2022

Mexico | Producing all the gasoline that the country consumes is not efficient

Last month the government announced the intention to stop exporting oil as of 2023 to instead use it in the national refining of gasoline with the aim of achieving "energy autonomy" and stop importing gasoline.

January 13, 2022

Turkey | Strong activity indicators in November

Industrial Production (IP) increased by 11.4% yoy in calendar adj. terms (14.7% yoy in raw series) in November higher than the market expectation of 8%. We expect 2022 GDP growth to be realized as 3.5%.

January 12, 2022

Colombia | Unemployment rate fell between October and November, but employment declined

In November, the national unemployment rate in its original series stood at 10.8% and the urban rate at 12.2%, lower than the same month in 2020, but still higher than in 2019. The national unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted, decreased, with respect to October, as did employment and the labor force.

January 5, 2022

Mexico | Consumption grows 1.4% in December with a boost from the services sector

The year-end data confirms the slowdown in consumption in 2H21, a period that registered a 4.9% variation, compared to the previous semester, a figure that contrasts with the 10.6% figure observed in 1H21.

January 4, 2022

Colombia | Decentralization of household spending

Colombia is deepening its spending decentralization process, not only through the incursion of other large cities other than the capital, but also, and this is what is new, towards intermediate cities and regions other than large population conglomerations.

January 3, 2022

Turkey | CPI surprised on the upside with 36.1%

Consumer prices increased by 13.58% in December significantly above expectations resulting in an annual inflation of 36.1% up from 21.3% the month before. We expect consumer inflation to hover above 40% throughout the year before declining to near 30% at the end of the year, helped by the favorable base impact in December.