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Headline inflation has been trending down but recently this trend has halted. Core inflation remains sticky. Our supply bottlenecks indicator shows no sign of supply disruptions.
The Mexican economy has shown better performance than expected, partly explained by the labor market's strength. According to the National Survey of Household Income and Expenditure (ENIGH), job creation and wage improvements have been more relevant for household income than government transfers.
Once again, a critical date in the U.S. fiscal calendar is approaching. If Congress does not approve an increase in the federal government's budget by September 30, the executive branch will be forced to enact a shutdown on October 1.
This presentation addresses the EU-Latam relationship and its structural challenges, as well as focusing on the analysis of the levers for productivity growth and how both regions can better address the challenges ahead by shoring up their rela…
The current account deficit reached USD 2,525 million in the second quarter and represented 3% of GDP, decreasing by 49% with respect to the value recorded in the second quarter of 2022. The deficit reduction was driven by the adjustment in the…
Recently, the Ministry of Economy published preliminary data on the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows that entered the country during the first half of the year.
Consumer prices rose by 9.09% m/m in August, higher than both our expectation (7.0%) and market consensus (7.2%), resulting in an annual inflation of 58.9% up from 47.8% in July. Considering higher-than-expected August realization, consumer inflation will likely get closer to 70% at the end of this year.
The growing mistrust between the East and the West is creating a geopolitical scenario that for many is reminiscent of the Cold War era; a time when domestic markets advanced under the weight of interventionist policies, and relations between c…
The national unemployment rate for July was 9.6%, 1.4 percentagepoints lower than last year's July rate (11.0%), being the lowest rate for themonth of July since 2015. On the margin, compared to June of this year, theunemployment rate was down …
Turkish economy grew by 3.8% in 2Q23 in annual terms slightly above the market consensus of 3.5% (vs. our expectation of 4.5%), which corresponds to 5% GDP growth if the calendar day adjustment is made. We expect GDP growth to materialize in th…
To increase the benefits of nearshoring in the medium term, the next federal government could design and implement a national infrastructure plan that contributes to expand and improve the quality of roads, railways, ports, industrial complexes and transmission lines.
The demographic challenges facing developed countries are well known: rapid aging and populations that in are already beginning to shrink in some regions. Less well known, however, is that the demographic transition is already changing the landscape in the vast majority of developing countries.
