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November 22, 2019

Spain | Understanding the causes of economic policy uncertainty using Machine Learning

In recent months, the index of economic policy uncertainty has recorded the largest increase since 2012. The decomposition of the index using an algorithm shows that the increase has been due to trade disputes and brexit. In October, domestic uncertainty also rose.

November 21, 2019

Mexico | 1H of November inflation forecast

Relatively stable YoY inflation in the first half, but lower in November.

November 21, 2019

Disentangling risks, activity and performance based on US corporate reports

The NLP importance in business and economics as a key source of information to enrich business and economic analysis. US corporate quarterly and annual reports provide a comprehensive overview on a company's activities and financial performance throughout the year and future plans.

November 21, 2019

Spain | Moderate growth and high uncertainty at year-end

The Spanish economy could continue growing at a quarterly rate of 0.4% in 4Q19, the same as the previous two quarters. If this is confirmed, 2019 would close with an average annual increase of 2.0%, 0.4 pp less than in 2018.

November 19, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2019

Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

November 18, 2019

The culmination of the banking union: a German proposal

Following the financial crisis that led to a European sovereign crisis in 2012, the European Commission developed a roadmap for the creation of the banking union, based on three key pillars: the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM) and the Deposit Guarantee Scheme (DGS).

November 18, 2019

The Cost of Complacency

The financial markets enter the final stretch of the year with their eyes set firmly on the trade war and Brexit, meaning that the optimism surrounding the favorable resolution of both matters could be the stimulus that the world economy needs to regain momentum.