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The trade balance had not posted a surplus since 2Q21. Given the stylized fact that the trade balance shows a countercyclical behavior, the trade surplus in 4Q23 is another indicator that suggests that the growth of the Mexican economy slowed down significantly by the end of last year.

The analysis of how climate-related acute physical events affect the economy must consider their unique aspects: brief duration and specific localization. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are instrumental in this analysis, for which three case studies are shown.

This Agenda presents the 2024 dissemination schedule for economic indicators and relevant monetary policy events in Mexico and the US; dates of important events such as the meetings of various relevant international entities such as: World Econ…

The growth of the Colombian economy was exceptionally low in 2023, registering at 0.6%. The primary culprit for this outcome was the steep decline in investment. Concerns extend beyond the short term, as the low investment rates will constrain …

The Central Bank (CBRT) maintained the policy rate at 45% as expected. We maintain our call of keeping 45% policy rate throughout the year with a bias tilted to the upside.

There are 1.7 million formal companies in the country. Micro and SMEs represent 99.5% of formal companies, generate 79% of the country's employment, and contribute close to 40% of the annual GDP.

The increasing development of short-term climate scenarios is driven by enhanced supervisory expectation for a comprehensive understanding of the effects of climate change. Their design is a work in progress blending narratives, shocks and modeling tools.

The Colombian economy expanded by 0.6% in 2023. The deceleration accentuated in the second half. Domestic demand contracted by 3.8%, weighed down by a decline in investment and the modest increase in private consumption. The external sector pro…

With a similar starting level two decades ago, Gross Fixed Capital Formation per working-age adult in Spain stood at 2,217 euros in 3Q23, 5.3% less than in 2001, while in the EU27 it reached 3,282 euros, 35.6% more than in 2001 and 48.0% more t…

Formal employment added 109 thousand new jobs in January, 2.4% less than in 2023, with a marked slowdown in manufacturing and services. Real wage increased 5.6% YoY (15.4% above pre-pandemic), and the total wage bill grew 8.8% YoY (23.9% above …

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently published its updated global forecast with an upward revision that reflects moderate optimism for this year, plagued by geopolitical uncertainties.

Signs indicate a gradual slowdown/normalization of the labor market, with NIFB survey trends suggesting no acceleration in employment, alongside lower Job openings and quits indicating slower wage growth.