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May 6, 2025
The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect the HBPSBR to be 53.0% at year-end with a public deficit and PSBR of 3.8% and 4.3% of GDP, respectively.
May 2, 2025
The national unemployment rate for March 2025 was 9.6% and the seasonally adjusted rate was 9.1% marking the third consecutive monthly decrease and placing it more than one percentage point below its 2024 average. This positive performance in the unemployment rate is mainly attributed to the strong dynamics of employment.
April 25, 2025
Colombia aims to cut its fiscal deficit to 5.1% of GDP in 2025, but success depends on swift institutional reforms, clear spending plans, and transparent financing. In a volatile global context, timely and credible messages are key to maintaining investor confidence.
April 9, 2025
The public deficit looks to have ended 2024 at 2.8% of GDP (excluding the funds set aside to support the victims of the flash floods that struck in October). It is exactly the size of the fiscal imbalance recorded back in 2019.
April 8, 2025
In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.
April 2, 2025
The 2026 General Economic Policy Pre-Criteria confirm the intention of the federal government to regain fiscal discipline by setting a target of 0.6% of GDP for the primary surplus and look to achieve stability around 52.3% of GDP for public debt in 2025 and 2026, sending a positive signal.
March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 13, 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
February 5, 2025
The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect this indicator of public debt-to-GDP ratio to be 53.1% at year-end.
