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Published on Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Global | COP31: From Commitments to Credible Delivery

Summary

Global climate governance has moved from framework-building to delivery. Despite progress, implementation and ambition remain off track for Paris. COP31 should therefore be judged by whether commitments translate into measurable, financed, accountable and climate-consistent action.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The climate architecture is in place; delivery is not. COPs have strengthened governance and reduced projected warming, but gaps between policies, NDCs and Paris-aligned pathways expose both implementation and ambition deficits.
  • COP31 should shift the focus from pledges to execution. Success should be measured by the credibility, financing, accountability and climate consistency of implementation—not by the number of new announcements.
  • Finance is the bridge from ambition to investment. Delivering climate goals requires bankable projects, effective risk allocation and private-capital mobilisation, supported where needed by public and concessional finance.
  • Delivery goes beyond negotiated COP outcomes. Action agendas, partnerships, companies and financial institutions can accelerate implementation, but should demonstrate additionality and measurable impact on policy, finance, investment or emissions.

Geographies

Documents and files

Report (PDF)

COP31: From Commitments to Credible Delivery

English - September 8, 2026

Authors

Julián Cubero
Julián Cubero Lead economist for Climate change economics
BBVA Research
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Pilar Más Rodríguez
Pilar Más Rodríguez Principal economist for Climate change economics
BBVA Research
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Jade Nappey
Jade Nappey Economist for Climate change economics
BBVA Research
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Diego Pérez González
Diego Pérez González Economist for Climate change economics
BBVA Research
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