Publications

Investment in intangible assets is a key driver of economic growth in Spain. Using financial transaction data, we build a real-time indicator aligned with official statistics that allows for detailed analysis of investment flows across sectors and regions. They show growth is concentrated in a few specialized hubs.

In 2024, La Rioja's GDP could have grown by 3.3%, and is expected to increase by 2.5% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026. Going forward, the evolution of activity will be marked by high uncertainty regarding economic and tariff policies and the slow recovery in Europe.

The fiscal deficit is expected to decline to 2.7% of GDP in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026. This outlook reflects a gradual and sustained adjustment in public finances, supported by solid economic growth. The consolidation occurs amid upward pressures on public spending, due to rising pension costs and increased defence expenditure.

This Working Paper briefly describes the latest update made to the sectoral module of the RegData FEDEA-BBVA database, 1955-2023.

Growth remains solid, but in a context of deceleration. In 2025, services exports remain the main growth driver. In 2026, the impact of tariffs and the slowdown in non-resident consumption will lead to a moderation in growth.

GDP is projected to grow by around 2.5% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026, maintaining a pace close to the medium-term trend despite a slowdown. This deceleration will be largely driven by shifts in U.S. trade policy and the heightened uncertainty they have triggered.

Social Security affiliation grew by 195,700 people, and unemployment fell by 57,800. After seasonal adjustment (swda), it is estimated that the number of contributors increased by 34,000, and the unemployed decreased by 15,000. The proportion of temporary workers enrolled in the General Regime moderated to 13.5% swda.

The real estate sector regained dynamism in 2024. Sales grew in much of the country, driven by a more favorable economic environment. However, the new supply remained insufficient to meet demand. The performance of the sector will be conditioned by several factors.