Regional Analysis Spain
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Despite the difficult global context brought about by COVID, the Spanish exports of goods maintained their export market destination and gained competitiveness and share in international trade. Outlook is favourable, although the uncertainty about the pandemic remains high and its impact on global activity is relevant.
Social Security affiliarion rose by 70,800 in March and unemployment fell by 59,100. Seasonally adjusted, employment fell by 8,000 and unemployment by 20,000. In Q1, job creation moderated (0.2% q/q q/q CVEC) and unemployment rose (0.5%). There were still 1,184,000 workers with limited activity
As it stands, the best health and economic policy for Europe and Spain would be a massive drive to quickly vaccinate the population against COVID-19. Given the supply restrictions on deliveries, vaccines must be optimized so that they can be administered as efficiently as possible.
COVID-19 hit international trade in 2020, paralyzing activity in several sectors and disrupting global supply chains. Demand plummeted and trade flows were severely damaged. The upward trend in the export of Spanish goods that had been ongoing since 2010 was also interrupted.
The European Commission has launched its Digital Compass, a document with the key digital goals of its plan for a successful digital transformation for Europe by 2030. The Commission has released this plan along with clear milestones and a tracking system.
The economy of the Canary Islands may have shrunk by 15.0% in 2020, and might grow 8.1% in 2021 and 9.6% in 2022. Public policies softened the impact of COVID-19. Consumption, investment and tourism will push the economy through 2021. With risks, the situation should be getting back to normal by 2022.
Research, development and innovation (R+D+I) are undoubtedly pending issues in Spain. Poor performance in this area has severe consequences for our economy. For example, the fact that there has been no growth in labor productivity in recent years and the resulting impact on wages.
The economy of Castille-La Mancha may have shrunk by 9.0% in 2020, and might grow 4.4% in 2021 and 6.2% in 2022. Public policies softened the impact of COVID-19. Consumption and investment will push the economy through 2021. With risks, the situation should be getting back to normal by 2022.