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According to BBVA credit card data, the first months of the year have been characterized by a slowdown in the growth of tourist spending in Spain compared to the last months of 2023, weighed down by the decline in consumption by Spaniards and despite the rebound of foreign tourism.

We summarize China’s Balance of Payments situation in 2023 post-pandemic time and compare it with the pandemic time; we also predict its trend in 2024.

Tax revenue was MXN 8,922 million (0.03% of GDP) below budget since the excise taxes on fuels intake was below budget despite its real annual increment of 195.1% in 1Q24.

The production of liquid hydrocarbons of Pemex Exploration and Production (PEP) in the first quarter of 2024 vs. the previous quarter showed a decrement of 36 thousand barrels a day mainly due to a lower production of superlight crude oil plus …

By the end of 2023, the Mexican economy grew at an annual rate of 3.2%, with an extraordinary growth of 15.6% in construction and differentiated effects at the regional level. The dynamism of services underpins growth in 2023; Wholesale and Ret…

At the end of 2023 we find opposite results in the Real Estate market. Construction presents historical results, growth rates well above the average in different indicators. The housing market is contracting with figures as of November 2023. In both cases, we estimate that in 2024 both sectors will reverse the trends

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Our most recent publications

The GDP grew by 0.7% YoY in the first quarter. The growth slowed down, with March being the month with the least activity among the three months. Domestic demand was the main source of the low growth. The performance of fixed investment and the manufacturing industry remains concerning.

The key point remains to be suppressing consumption since the slow-down in domestic demand is still limited and aggregate demand remains stronger than supply. We eliminate our previous downward bias on 2024 GDP forecast (3.5%) and get ready to have a downward revision on our exchange rate and inflation forecasts for 2024.

Monthly inflation had not reached values below 10% since October 2023; monthly core inflation (6.3% m/m, 292% y/y) was the lowest in 15 months, and is the key variable to monitor to measure the pace of disinflation in a context of correction of…

The CBRT signals to remain tight as long as needed, while new fiscal measures signal that the policy mix will be more coordinated. Considering the lagged impact of policies, we believe macro-prudential measures to contain still solid consumptio…

The GDP of the Valencian Community could increase by 2.1% in 2024 and 2.0% in 2025, which would allow the creation of 103,000 new jobs in the region in the biennium.

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