Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
May 23, 2025
NGFS’s new five-year climate scenarios help gauge near-term transition and physical risks, adding compound-hazard modelling and macro-financial feedbacks, but they retain some outdated narratives and overlook recent policy decoupling, limiting realism.
May 20, 2025
This report presents a novel method to track technological progress in real time using data from ArXiv, the world's most popular preprint repository in computer science, physics and mathematics.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
May 19, 2025
The observatory analyzes the cyclical behavior of GDP and exports in Spain up to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a negative gap in GDP per working age population (WAP) compared to its trend level (-0.9 pp), although its growth slightly exceeds the historical trend.
May 15, 2025
At the end of 2024, the Mexican economy's GDP grew by 1.5%, primarily driven by the Services sector, which experienced a 2.3% increase. Notably, Professional Services, Transportation, and Retail emerged as the key sectors contributing significantly to this economic growth.
May 14, 2025
The pig farming sector in Colombia has grown 171% over the last two decades, with improvements in productivity, technification, and health standards. The increasing trend in domestic pork demand represents an opportunity for sector development.
May 14, 2025
Economic growth will continue to support the dynamism of the real estate sector in the coming months. The decline in interest rates, the strength of the labor market, and positive net migration will sustain strong demand in 2025, although it is expected to decelerate in 2026 as a result of slower economic growth.
May 9, 2025
BBVA customers' card spending fell sharply on April 28, 2025, due to the power outage that affected the Iberian Peninsula. In particular, spending by customers residing in the affected areas was 41 percentage points below the average observed on non-holiday Mondays in April 2024.
May 9, 2025
This note proposes a framework to estimate the employment effects of floods in Spain, combining imputed damage data with a spatial panel model. These extreme events cause job losses and regional spillovers, but timely aid mitigates them. The DANA in Valencia illustrates the frameworks' accuracy and its policy relevance.
April 29, 2025
BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.
April 22, 2025
China’s banks face headwinds in 2025 amid weak credit growth, low profitability, and property sector stress. Narrowing interest margins and declining lending rates have pushed ROA and ROE to record lows. Real estate woes, LGFV debt, and US tariffs weigh heavily on the sector, while links to shadow banking grown modestly.
April 10, 2025
Construction GDP grew 2.6% thanks to a 6.9% increase in building construction, despite the decline in other subsectors. The mortgage market increased its number of loans by 10.7%, primarily due to the recovery of affordable housing.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
May 23, 2025
The trade surplus in 1Q25 is mainly due to the positive balance on non-oil-related goods. Net foreign direct investment posted an increase of 3.4% YoY in 1Q25 when comparing advance figures.
May 23, 2025
NGFS’s new five-year climate scenarios help gauge near-term transition and physical risks, adding compound-hazard modelling and macro-financial feedbacks, but they retain some outdated narratives and overlook recent policy decoupling, limiting realism.
May 23, 2025
Colombia’s GDP grew 2.7% in Q1 2025, driven by consumption (76.7% of GDP), while investment remains weak, especially in housing and infrastructure. The key challenge is boosting investment to ensure sustainable growth.
May 23, 2025
This edition of the OTMT examines labor market trends based on data available through Q1 2025. It reviews the main aggregate indicators and analyzes recent labor market flows, with a focus on closing gender gaps.
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May 14, 2025
