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Growth and inflation moderate; we estimate that a continuous cycle of rate cuts has begun. We revised downward the economic growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 given the weakening of domestic demand.
GDP will grow 2.9% this year and 2.7% in 2025. Private spending will gain traction in the coming quarters, supported by more favourable financial conditions, the impact of private pension funds withdrawals, and the beginning of construction of some infrastructure projects, while public spending will moderate.
The government maintains a firm commitment to fiscal balance while upholding a "zero monetary issuance" policy for all items arising from the public sector. The slowdown in inflation has stalled since May, remaining around 4% monthly, and econo…
Domestic demand will lead Colombia’s economic recovery, driven by improved financial conditions that will strengthen consumption and investment. This will provide a significant boost to sectors such as manufacturing and retail. In the long run,…
BBVA Research and the Mexican Association of Private Industrial Parks (AMPIP) conducted the second edition of the survey to identify opportunities and challenges of nearshoring
Climate is a relevant factor in the choice of a tourist destination. Changes in climate conditions could alter the seasonal and geographical pattern of tourism in Spain, with the impact depending on the adaptation policies implemented.
In this edition of the QLMO, we review the labor market situation with data available up to Q2 2024. We assess the progress of key indicators, explore employment rate differences between Spain and the EU, and place particular emphasis on the trends in occupational segregation.
Artificial intelligence (AI) holds great potential for boosting economic productivity and driving climate action, supporting innovations for the energy transition. However, it also places increasing strain on energy and water resources.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
Restrictive monetary policy and tight financial conditions lead output gap to turn into negative in 3Q24. Fiscal consolidation is projected for 2025, which could provide room for a gradual monetary easing. Overall, the policy mix will become more restrictive, potentially curbing GDP growth to below 3% in 2025.
The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated in the last week of September from 0.3% to almost 1% due to strong increase in consumer credits in the overall sector. The 13w trend of credit growth as of end of 3Q’24 implies some deceleration with 25% compared to 30% in 2Q’24 (35% 1Q’24).
In this publication you will find, on a weekly basis, our selection of the most relevant news regarding financial regulation.
While many economic policy decisions are made with the best intentions in mind, things do not always go as planned. Numerous examples of this can be found in the real estate market.
Growth and inflation moderate; we estimate that a continuous cycle of rate cuts has begun. We revised downward the economic growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 given the weakening of domestic demand.
