Our most recent publications
Galicia's GDP could grow by 5.6% in 2021 and 5.4% in 2022. If the forecasts are met, Galicia will be one of the regions that recovers the pre-crisis level of activity the fastest and some 33,000 new jobs would be created between 2020 and 2022. There is a downward bias on these forecasts.
The percentage of the population that has at least basic digital skills is lower in Spain than in the EMU as a whole and fell between 2015 and 2019. Although it rose in 2020 to 60% (65% of Internet users), it is far of the 80% target established in the 2025 Digital Agenda.
Turkish economy grew by 7.4% yoy in 3Q21, resulting in a growth rate of 11.7% in the first three quarters of the year. 2021 GDP growth will likely reach 10.5-11%, beating our current 9.5% forecast. Though, recent currency shock and accompanying tighter financial conditions will likely weigh on the downside for 2022 growth.
The GDP of Andalusia could grow by 5.5% in 2021 but with a downward bias due to the advance estimate of the Quarterly Accounts. In 2022, regional GDP growth could reach 5.2%. If the forecasts are met, Andalusia would create, on average for the year, some 200,000 new jobs between 2020 and 2022.
We analyze the ongoing real estate sector crackdown measures and the reasons behind. We investigate the impact of housing price deceleration on banking, government, enterprises and the household sector and conclude that real estate sector needs a soft-landing in 2022.