Searcher
Francisco Grippa
Francisco Grippa
Principal Economist
Lima

Francisco Grippa is Principal Economist of BBVA Research in Peru. Francisco is in charge of a team focused on the macro assessment of the Peruvian economy. Besides, he is a lecturer at the Economics and Finance Faculty in Universidad del Pacífico.

Francisco has previously been the Peruvian ViceMinister of SME and Industry, President of the Board at the Peruvian Research and Competitiveness Fund (FIDECOM), and Member of the Board at the Labour Training and Employment Promotion Fund (FONDOEMPLEO), the Innovation, Science, and Technology Fund (FINCYT), and the Commission for Promoting Peruvian Exports and Tourism (PROMPERÚ), among other similar positions. He has also worked leading the Peruvian Central Bank’s monetary policy department.

He holds a MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science (London, UK), a MSc in Finance from the Graduate Programme in Economics, Finance, and Management at Universitat Pompeu Fabra (Barcelona, Spain), and a BA from Universidad del Pacífico (Lima, Peru). Francisco’s research includes macroeconomics issues such as monetary policy, inflation targeting, dollarisation, among others, and sectoral analysis.

Latest publications

We expect the Peruvian economy to grow 10% in 2021 and 4,8% next year, supported by a favourable external context. These forecasts are strongly conditioned to the maintenance of macroeconomic stability by the new government administration and largely reflect a rebound after the sharp output contraction in 2020.
In January, the Consumer Price Index increased by 0,74%, more than anticipated by the market consensus. Food and fuel price increases stood out. With this result, YoY inflation reached 2,7%.
The Peruvian economy will grow around 10% in 2021, largely due to a “rebound effect”, but also supported by the favourable external environment and despite both regulatory and electoral uncertainty. In 2022, when the local vaccination process has been broadly deployed, an expansion of 4.5% is expected.