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Francisco Grippa
Francisco Grippa

Chief Economist

Francisco Grippa is currently Chief Economist for Peru at BBVA Research. He was previously Principal Economist at the same Unit. He is in charge of a team focused on the macro assessment of the Peruvian economy. Besides, he is a lecturer at the Economics and Finance Faculty in Universidad del Pacífico.

 

Francisco has previously been the Peruvian ViceMinister of SME and Industry, President of the Board at the Peruvian Research and Competitiveness Fund (FIDECOM), and Member of the Board at the Labour Training and Employment Promotion Fund (FONDOEMPLEO), the Innovation, Science, and Technology Fund (FINCYT), and the Commission for Promoting Peruvian Exports and Tourism (PROMPERÚ), among other similar positions. He has also worked leading the Peruvian Central Bank’s monetary policy department.

 

He holds a MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science (London, UK), a MSc in Finance from the Graduate Programme in Economics, Finance, and Management at Universitat Pompeu Fabra (Barcelona, Spain), and a BA from Universidad del Pacífico (Lima, Peru). Francisco’s research includes macroeconomics issues such as monetary policy, inflation targeting, dollarisation, among others, and sectoral analysis.


Latest Publications

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

We forsee growth of 3.2% in 2018 and 3.5% for next year. The forecasts take into account a favourable international environment for Peru. On the domestic front we are assuming a calmer political scenario, a fiscal stimulus in 2018 and a commencement of the deficit reduction by the government next year.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

We forsee growth of 3.2% in 2018 and 3.5% for next year. The forecasts take into account a favourable international environment for Peru. On the domestic front we are assuming a calmer political scenario, a fiscal stimulus in 2018 and a commencement of the deficit reduction by the government next year.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Central Bank Digital Currencies in LatAm

By , , , , ,

We identified the most relevant factors for the implementation of a CBDC in LatAm, under different designs. We concluded that the region could benefit more from the adoption of a CBDC than developed countries. However, the existence of costs associated with implementation casts uncertainty on where it will be adopted first.

Available in English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Real Estate Outlook 2017

By , ,

Apartments sales in Lima was reactivated in 2017 after a period of uncertainty related to the general elections, especially since the third quarter, when the economy began to show some signs of recovery. However, according to the number of purchase searches carried out on the internet, sales would moderate in 2018.

Units:
Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection downwards, from 4.1% to 3.5%. The delay in infrastructure construction, one of the main risk factors considered in the report that we published last quarter, materialised in early 2017.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016

By , , , , ,

We estimate that the Peruvian economy will grow by about 3.9% in 2016 and by 4.1% in 2017 when infrastructure projects will provide support.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2016

By , , , , ,

We stand by our GDP growth forecasts for the Peruvian economy of 3.6% in 2016 and 4.3% in 2017. Higher mining production and the implementation of large-scale infrastructure works will shore up the growth in GDP over the next few quarters.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English