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Social Security gross affiliation stagnated and registered unemployment fell by 33.500. Excluding seasonality (CVEC), employment continued to increase (30.000) and temporality in hiring maintained its rate of decline (to 53,7%). Unemployment fell (-35.000 CVEC), but employed job seekers increased.

In October, the national unemployment rate was 9.7%. Employment growth showed a slowdown with respect to the growth rate observed in previous months. The commerce, artistic activities and public administration sectors were the most involved in job creation.

The Consumer Price Index for the city of Lima increased 0.52% MoM in November. This is mainly a result of the increase in food prices (fish and chicken), restaurant menus and an adjustment in electricity rates.

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The minimum wage policy has been insufficient to attack the structural problems of the labor market. It has eclipsed the need to discuss more structural aspects of the economy that allow for a more robust labor market and a horizon for creating…

GDP growth forecast is revised moderately upwards to 4.6% in 2022 and 1.2% in 2023. The economy is holding up better than expected and the probability of recession is reduced. Activity will gain traction as NGEU funds are implemented and uncert…

Turkish economy grew 3.9% y/y in 3Q22 (vs. 4% expected and 4.4% market consensus). We nowcast an annual GDP growth rate of 2.8% as of November, which puts a slight downside risk on our 2022 GDP growth forecast of 5.5%. We forecast 2023 GDP growth to be 3% with the expected boost in the first half of the year.

With COP 27 over, the balance of what has been achieved is a bit unsatisfactory: a missed opportunity to make decisive progress on mitigation, adaptation and climate finance, which is not offset by the progress in reparations for climate loss and damage.

We expect the trade balance to show lower deficits or even surpluses in some quarters of next year under a scenario of a significant slowdown of global economic growth. Moreover, nearshoring and relocation of global supply chains will continue …

The European economy is slowly entering a long-overdue recession, expected almost since the war in Ukraine began, which may finally be taking place in the last months of the year. It is expected to be moderate and linked to factors that will ta…

Aragon's GDP is expected to grow by 3,3% in 2022, although the current economic slowdown will continue in the coming quarters. Regional GDP is expected to grow by 0,6% in 2023, due to the fall in European demand, higher energy and transport pri…

The increase in EU gas reserves to 94% of capacity together with warmer weather and lower consumption indicates that Europe is in a good position to face the rise in consumption during winter. Factors to be considered are the European Commission's proposal on the gas price cap and possible gas supply cuts.

Just over a year ago, it was still common to hear the argument that the inflationary pressures that emerged globally from the first quarter of 2021 were due to the concurrence of several factors that, sooner rather than later, would prove to have a transitory effect on prices.