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La economía creció el 0,2% t/t mostrando una composición atípica de la demanda en la que las principales partidas cayeron con fuerza y se dio un intenso proceso de sustitución de importaciones. En este contexto, las horas trabajadas disminuyeron (-0,1% t/t) y la productividad por hora aumentó (0,3% t/t).
Economic activity is expected to grow 1,9% in 2023, six tenth of a percentage point less than our early-December forecast. This revision considers the social upheaval at the beginning of the year and higher political uncertainty, more than offsetting a milder global activity slowdown. A rebound of 3,0% is expected in 2024.
Upward revision to our 2023 real GDP growth forecast to 1.4% (0.6% previously); we expect the economy will grow 2.2% in 2024. Private spending will drive growth this year and mitigate the slowdown in manufacturing amid external demand weakness.
The February figure (2.0% YoY) is the lowest since the end of 2021 and suggests a turning point for manufacturing this year, given the gradual deceleration in external demand.
The GDP growth forecast for all the Autonomous Communities increases in 2023, with greater momentum in the industrial and tourist regions. But the forecast for 2024 is reduced: inflation moderates the increase in consumption in the Mediterranea…
The European Central Bank (ECB) had to make a decision in difficult circumstances on Thursday, amid strong financial market turmoil and with the banking sector in the eye of the storm. It raised rates by 50 basis points to 3.50%.
This year had started off very well for banks. In fact, the share price of banks in the eurozone had risen by 20% by Wednesday, March 8; however, in one week these gains have been wiped out. The failure of three banks in the US and the sale of Credit Suisse to UBS have caused turbulence in the global banking system.
2023 will be the “Year of China” after the authorities lifted “zero Covid” policy amid the global economic slowdown. How to rebuild market confidence and repair the household and enterprises’ balance sheets become the main challenges in the pos…
GDP contracted 1.1% YoY in January. Non-primary GDP contracted in a context of social upheaval and unfavorable conditions for private spending. On the other hand, the primary component of GDP moderated due to lower mining production.
Although bank assets continued to expand in 2022, banks' profitability is weighed by narrowing interest margins amid a challenging operating environment. Asset risks are rising, the risks associated with the property market could exacerbate the…
China's economic indicators in January-February 2023 have significantly rebounded after the authorities lifted the "zero Covid" restrictions.
The Colombian economy will moderate its growth, from high levels of activity, mainly due to lower private consumption. GDP will grow 0.7% in 2023 and 1.8% in 2024, after a gradual recovery from the end of this year. Inflation will gradually decline, ending this year at 9% and 2024 at 5%.
