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Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics latest publications

July 1, 2022

Peru | Inflation surprises again due to higher international prices of inputs

The Consumer Price Index for the city of Lima increased 1.19% MoM in June. This is a result of the increase in the prices of transportation, food and restaurants and hospitality, in a context of higher international prices of fuels and agricultural inputs.
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  • Peru

July 1, 2022

Spain | La Rioja Economic Outlook 2022

La Rioja's GDP grew by 4.4% in 2021. But the war in Ukraine and sanctions reduce growth expectations. Thus, Rioja's GDP is expected to grow by 3.4% in 2022 and 3.0% in 2023. By the end of 2023, GDP per capita could be 1% higher than in 2019.

June 29, 2022

Spain | Extending working life: Why? Where are we? How to do it?

Longer working lives improve the sustainability of the welfare state and the public pension system, have positive externalities on the employment and productivity of young workers, and enhance cognitive functioning.

June 28, 2022

US | Disinflation without a deep recession: the big challenge of the Fed

Since the decade of the 1970s a strong surge in US inflation had not been seen. Even though there are some similarities between those years and nowadays like the higher inflation of food and energy, the Fed back then was not truly independent and used to favor employment expansion at the expense of inflation.

June 27, 2022

Europe | Energy crisis and carbon pricing

The world is now facing the biggest energy crisis of the last 40 years, making it hard to make any meaningful progress on climate legislation in the European Union (EU).

June 27, 2022

Europe | Minimum wage: from symptoms to causes

On June 7, 2022, the European Parliament and EU Member States reached an agreement on the Directive on adequate minimum wages. Despite the arrival of this Directive, differences in minimum wages between EU Member States will continue to exist for as long as there is no convergence in productivity and employment rates.

June 24, 2022

Mexico | Will there be a recession in the United States?

Recessions occur because the Fed's short-term interest rates determine the level of all rates in the economy: the Fed's rate hike implies higher rates for credit to companies, for mortgage loans and for consumer loans, etc.

June 23, 2022

Argentina | BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator (May-22)

In May, total consumption with BBVA cards, in real terms, grew 10.2% YoY. The latest data from our real time indicators show a weakness in the economic recovery process.