Microeconomics latest publications
Card spending increased 41% year-on-year in May (51% in April). Progress was greater in the online channel (69%) than in the face-to-face channel (30%). The end of the state of alarm in May 2021 magnified the year-on-year slowdown in purchases, especially with foreign cards.
GDP advanced 4.8% in 2021, 8 states recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Administrative, Support and Financial Services sectors stall while Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail and Transportation sectors accelerate.
Card purchases increased by 51% year-on-year in April (39% in March). Growth was greater in the online channel (81%) than in the face-to-face channel (40%), and both transactions with Spanish cards and, above all, with foreign cards gained momentum.
At the end of 2021, Construction grew faster than the economy, facing a strong increase in input prices, it is expected that in 2022 it will grow, driven by Civil Works. The mortgage market continues to advance but at a more moderate pace for this year.
Proposals to authorize new withdrawals from private pension funds do not seem to be a priority when the economy is recovering and exploiting today's youth the burden of doing something in the future for those left unprotected today.
Card spending up 39% YoY in March (53% in February). Progress was greater in the online channel (74%) than in the face-to-face channel (25%). The slowdown in growth was more pronounced in face-to-face purchases, especially with foreign cards.
Sluggish purchases of durable goods have constrained the recovery of private consumption in 2021. The increase in household income, a more subdued inflation, the unwinding of excess savings and the boost from NGEU funds will push spending up to around 5.5% in 2022.
At BBVA we introduced a new indicator built with Big Data, based on the appraisals used in the bank's regular activity, to strengthen price monitoring in the sector. In addition, we built a set of models to improve estimates in real time.