We study mexican households savings and consumer credit patterns through the Covid-19 pandemic and the dynamics of these variables during the reopening period.
Credit to private sector
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During October 2021, traditional private sector deposits increased in real terms, driven by employment and the rate hike cycle. The current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) grew 0.2% in nominal terms.
The reduction in COVID-19 cases during October seems to have influenced a heterogeneous boost to credit, while the relevant rise in formal employment and the cycle of monetary tightening were reflected in an incipient change in the trend of ter…
In August 2021, the nominal balance of the current loan portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector fell 3.1% annually (-8.3% in real terms). By credit aggregates, the annual nominal variations were: consumption, -…
For the third consecutive month, the contraction in the annual growth rate of current portfolio balances to the non-financial private sector has been milder, which reaffirms that total bank credit is on the way to a recovery, although its magni…
August 20, 2021
Mexico | Bank lending falls 6.1%, a decline of a lesser magnitude than in previous months
A milder contraction in the annual growth rate of outstanding balances for the second consecutive month provides encouraging signs that the negative impact of the pandemic on banking credit has moved past its worst point and could be on a recovery path.
May could represent a turning point in the dynamics of credit to the NFPS, with a smaller contraction than the one in April and a better performance of the portfolios that comprise it. An improvement in the activity and employment indicators in the medium term would consolidate a better performance in the credit market.
In April 2021, the nominal annual contraction of current commercial banking credit to the non-financial private sector was -8.8% (-14.1% real). Despite the improvement in some indicators of economic activity, the different portfolios showed a l…
In January 2021, the balance of current credit granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector once again registered an annual fall in nominal terms, which was -1.3% (-4.6% in real terms), practically the same as that observed i…
In December 2020, the balance of current credit granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector registered for the second consecutive month a nominal annual fall, which was -1.2% (-4.2% in real terms), higher than the reduction …
January 19, 2021
Mexico | In November, credit to the non-financial private sector fell in nominal terms
In November 2020, the balance of outstanding credit granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector registered a nominal annual fall of -0.8% (-4.0% in real terms), the first contraction observed in this credit aggregate since April 2010 (when the fall in the balance was -0.7%).
Credit to the private sector slowed down due to lower demand. The business and consumer portfolios contracted, while the housing portfolio reduced its dynamism. Financing to the public sector accelerated significantly.