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October 1, 2024

Argentina Economic Outlook. October 2024

The government maintains a firm commitment to fiscal balance while upholding a "zero monetary issuance" policy for all items arising from the public sector. The slowdown in inflation has stalled since May, remaining around 4% monthly, and economic activity shows signs that the recession may have ended in Q2 2024.

August 16, 2024

Mexico | Public debt could reach 60% of GDP in 2030

A fiscal consolidation that would imply a public deficit of 3.0% of GDP (-3.5% of PSBR) is expected for next year, which would occur with a primary surplus and financial cost of 0.4% and 3.4% of GDP, respectively.

June 17, 2024

Global | Slow landing of activity and inflation

The intensity of political events, in a year plagued by key elections in many regions of the world, as well as two ongoing armed conflicts, contrast with the resilience of the global economy.

January 2, 2024

Global | 2024: inflation and the "wall" effect

Inflation peaked in 2022 before easing considerably in 2023 in most economies. For instance, the average inflation rate in the United States dropped from 8.0% in 2022 to around 4.1% in 2023, while in the eurozone it fell from 8.4% to nearly 5.6%.

September 29, 2023

Mexico | Mexico needs a fiscal rule

The central reflection when analyzing the fiscal package for 2024 is that Mexico needs a fiscal rule. A public deficit of 4.9% of GDP is proposed for 2024, which, if materialized, will be the highest since 1990.