Searcher

Inflation

Inflation latest publications

Advanced filter

Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.

More recent Most read

Sort our publications chronologically from newest to oldest, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.

Sort publications according to the number of time reads by our users, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.

The Fed will likely convey that it continues to look for “more good data” before feeling enough confidence to begin cutting rates as the strength of economic activity has extended and shelter inflation has surprised to the upside.

While the labor market is still on track to a better supply-demand balance and wage costs cool down, two consecutive 0.4% MoM core inflation readings will likely continue to push the Fed to convey it needs “more good data” to gain greater confidence on the disinflationary process.

Downward revision to our 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth estimate to 2.5% (2.9% previously), with lower dynamism of domestic demand.

The global economy is heading into a year full of political and geopolitical uncertainties that may have a considerable impact on confidence and economic policies.

In February, annual inflation continued to decrease, registering an annual variation of 7.7% and a monthly variation of 1.09%. The result was above the expectations of market analysts, who expected a monthly variation of 0.96%.

Javier Milei's government took office aiming to have a less regulated and more market friendly economy with the private sector as the main driver of economic growth. The core of his macroeconomic policy is to achieve fiscal equilibrium and eliminate monetary issuance to cover public spending as of 2024.

This year will go from less to more, but it could trend even more positively if investment gains momentum. This hinges on broader factors like the country's medium-term outlook concerning growth, fiscal matters, regulations, and inflation, among others.

Improved financial conditions for households and businesses, facilitated by anticipated lower interest rates and inflation, will pave the way for a gradual economic recovery in Colombia throughout 2024, solidifying by 2025. We project a 1.5% GD…

After increased concerns on inflation outlook and uncertainty ahead of the local election, there has been additional stress on the Turkish financial markets most recently. We expect more restrictive policies going forward, which will keep the c…

The consumer price index increased 0.56% MoM in February. The result for the month is mainly explained by the increase in the prices of some foods, particularly poultry, affected by high temperatures in February, and the readjustment in some ad…

Doors seem to have closed to the possibility of a rate cut in March. Fed’s need for “more good data” to achieve “greater confidence” of the ongoing disinflation process has been recently supported by recent strong job creation data and signals of sticky core CPI services inflation.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently published its updated global forecast with an upward revision that reflects moderate optimism for this year, plagued by geopolitical uncertainties.