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    January 24, 2020

    U.S. Macroeconomic Pulse. January 2020

    Baseline assumes growth of 1.8% in 2020, potential upside emerging. Model-based recession projections suggest probability around 30% over the next 24-months. Moderate job growth and steady unemployment for foreseeable future. Inflation close to 2%, downside risks fading.
    • Geography Tags
    • USA

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    January 24, 2020

    Eurozone | slightly upward growth forecasts, but weakness persists

    Eurozone growth forecasts are revised slightly upwards due to better incoming data, but we continue to expect some slowdown from 1.2% in 2019 to 0.9% in 2020 before recovering gradually to 1.2% in 2021.

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    January 24, 2020

    Latin America | What matters in 2020?

    Modest recovery: Latin America will grow 1.4% in 2020 and 2.1% in 2021, after having expanded 0.6% in 2019.

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    January 23, 2020

    Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2020

    We expect output to grow by 3,1% in 2020, a forecast which is similar to the one we made in October, while in 2021 economic activity would grow by 3,5%. The main drivers will be the normalisation of primary activities (mining) and public spending, to which a stronger private spending will be added next year.
    • Geography Tags
    • Peru

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    January 23, 2020

    Colombia Economic Outlook. First quarter 2020

    Colombia meets its potential growth level, driven by an accelerating internal demand.

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    January 23, 2020

    Latin America Economic Outlook. First quarter 2020

    Latin America: gradual recovery in 2020-21, but a surge in uncertainty represents a risk

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    January 22, 2020

    Mexico | First half of January inflation forecast: base-effect driven temporary rebound

    We expect headline inflation to increase 0.25% HoH in in the first half of January (3.17% YoY), with core coming in at 0.18% HoH (3.70% YoY).

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    January 21, 2020

    Updated Global Outlook | Towards the stabilization of global growth, though risks persist

    Recent data have been relatively positive and signal to some stabilization. Lower trade tensions, less uncertainty of a hard Brexit in the short-term, a lax monetary policy and somewhat expansionary fiscal policy should support a slightly higher growth. Global GDP will grow steadily at 3.2% in 2020 and 3.3% in 2021.

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