Monetary policy latest publications
The rapid outbreak of the new coronavirus (COVID-19), which has spread far beyond China, has wreaked havoc on financial markets. World stock markets have fallen by around 30% in just over a month, led by the transport, tourism, hotel industry and energy sectors, which has been followed by others such as finance.
The outbreak of Covid-19 will have a significant negative impact on economies at a global level with generalized shocks on supply and demand, therefore, we revised our GDP growth forecast to -4.5%. Fiscal objectives have to take second place; the most urgent is to underpin health systems and support workers.
March 16, 2020
China | Negative Jan-Feb economic activity outturns point to a historical low growth in Q1
A batch of record-low negative January-February indicators announced today pointed to a significant slowdown in economic activities in Q1 amid the outbreak of COVID-19 in China.
China’s banking sector, particularly small and medium-sized banks, today face a headwind of asset quality deterioration. Revisiting Chinese bank rescues from the early 2000s, we examine how the authorities tackled a severe rise in non-performing loans (NPLs).
In an unscheduled and abbreviated statement, the Fed announced an emergency 50bp cut to 1-1.25% in the Fed Funds rate, similar to the response to 9/11.
Since the beginning of the recovery, GDP growth in Spain (2.6% per year) has been one of the highest among the large developed economies and consistently higher than that seen for the EMU as a whole (1.8%), but is this a valid and sustainable point of reference for the coming years?
The eurozone slowed somewhat more than expected in Q4 of last year, with growth shrinking to 0.1% in the quarter. Looking at individual countries, the biggest surprises were the contraction in activity in Italy (-0.3% QoQ) and France (-0.1% QoQ) and the stagnation of the German economy.