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    July 2, 2019

    The digitalization of money

    Continuous innovation and the gradual decline of the use of cash are giving way to a new digital monetary system. Central banks must define the new role they will play coming out of this transformation.

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    July 1, 2019

    Sintra, beyond the tweet of Trump

    Central banking forums are particularly interesting, providing as they do an environment where one can take a step back from the volatile present and, even more importantly, take perspective and ask oneself where it is that we are heading.

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    June 25, 2019

    Banxico will keep rates at 8.25%. We still expect an unwarranted hawkish tone

    We do not agree with Banxico’s overly hawkish tone; we think they should cut rates but they will not. We estimate the next move to be a cut, in September.

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    June 19, 2019

    FOMC Meeting: June 18th-19th

    After weeks of disappointing data, rising trade tensions and renewed fears of slower global growth, the Fed set the stage for a monetary easing cycle, in line with our view.
    • Geography Tags
    • USA

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    June 17, 2019

    The Fed: review of its monetary policy strategy, tools and communication practices

    Just under a year ago, the Federal Reserve (Fed) began a process to review its monetary policy strategy, tools and communication practices.
    • Geography Tags
    • USA

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    June 12, 2019

    U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. June 2019

    Models suggest more than 70% probability of recession within the next 24 months. Shadow banking, business debt and risk appetite represent major red flags. Dovish Fed response has potential to negate downside risks in short-term.
    • Geography Tags
    • USA

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    June 6, 2019

    ECB: More dovishness in several fronts

    The ECB strengthened its forward guidance on rates, with no rate hikes at least through the first half of 2020 in response to the increase and persistence of global uncertainty. The ECB opens the possibility to further easing if needed.

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