Regional Analysis Mexico
Regional Analysis Mexico latest publications
Our forecasts indicate that the current account deficit will stabilize around 1.5% of GDP in the medium term and there will not be a structural problem for its financing.
The sharp annual drop in public revenue as of April, which is very likely to continue until March of 2021, will make the Ministry of Finance tap the main rainy funds for budgetary stabilization (FEIP and FEIF) to avoid more public spending cuts.
The depth of the decline brings 2020 growth closer to the lower end of our forecast range, currently between -12.0% and -9.0%, in annual variation.
The estimates made by ECLAC, Coneval and BBVA Research are presented on the effect that the current crisis by Covid-19 can have on the increase in poverty and extreme poverty levels in Mexico in 2020.
May 5, 2020
Mexico | GDP falls 1.6% QoQ in 1Q20; a prelude to the biggest recession in recent history
Although an early deterioration in the industrial sector was expected due to the early halting of global value chains, the effect on consumption in March seems to be greater than that shown by the retail sales data to date.
April 15, 2020
Mexico | Covid-19 16th week projections: SIR b(t), ARIMA and International Comparative
Projections on the behavior of the total number of Covid-19 cases in Mexico for the 16th week of 2020, from April 15 to 19, are presented.
Services slow down and industry falls in 2019. Foreign Direct Investment in the Southeast, USMCA will boost Bajío and Norte.
March 23, 2020
Mexico | 11.8 million employees excluded from health and income below the poverty line
In a context of economic recession and health crisis, the impact on the labor market is widespread, however, it has a greater impact on the most vulnerable workers with low-income levels and excluded from social security.