Publications

Mexican MSMEs have advanced in financial inclusion, but gaps in credit access and digitalization remain. Micro and women-led businesses face greater barriers. Strategic support is essential to fully integrate them into economic development.

The BBVA Research Multidimensional Manufacturing Indicator grew 2.0% YoY in May, bringing the average year-over-year growth variance for the first five months of the year to 5.0% (vs. 1.0% in the same period last year).

The "Plan Mexico" is emerging as a key initiative to mitigate the tariff shock and reposition the country as an attractive destination for investment. Mexico holds a relatively favorable position among the five largest exporters to the United States, which could revitalize Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows.

Formal employment in Mexico shows clear signs of deceleration, reflecting an adverse economic environment marked by domestic and global uncertainties. Although real wages have remained somewhat resilient, job creation faces significant pressures that negatively impact the total wage bill.

On April 2, 2025, the White House issued an executive order introducing reciprocal tariffs aimed at regulating U.S. trade and reducing the trade deficit. A baseline 10% tariff will take effect on April 5, while country-specific reciprocal tariffs will be implemented starting April 9.

Mexico imposes temporary tariffs of 15 to 35% on 155 tariff items in the textile and clothing industry, modifies the Immex Decree to limit access in these sectors. Finally, it establishes a global rate of 19% on products imported through digital platforms from countries without a trade agreement, including China.

As of the third quarter of 2024 (3Q24), the trade deficit is 11 billion dollars. In the same period, foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to flow to Mexico. Through 3Q24, the country has attracted 35.7 billion dollars, a slight increase of 1.5% compared to the same period of the previous year.

On February 1, the White House announced that it would impose tariffs of 25% on imports (not all imports, which leaves open the question of whether they will be selective) on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China (in addition to those already faced).