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Regional Analysis Mexico

Regional Analysis Mexico latest publications

August 25, 2020

Mexico | Global economic recession affects external accounts

Our forecasts indicate that the current account deficit will stabilize around 1.5% of GDP in the medium term and there will not be a structural problem for its financing.

August 20, 2020

Mexico | Tapping rainy funds in 2020 will cause more future vulnerability

The sharp annual drop in public revenue as of April, which is very likely to continue until March of 2021, will make the Ministry of Finance tap the main rainy funds for budgetary stabilization (FEIP and FEIF) to avoid more public spending cuts.

August 1, 2020

Mexico | GDP drops -53.2% annualized in 2Q20

The depth of the decline brings 2020 growth closer to the lower end of our forecast range, currently between -12.0% and -9.0%, in annual variation.

May 21, 2020

Mexico | Scenarios of the effects on poverty due to the Covid-19 crisis

The estimates made by ECLAC, Coneval and BBVA Research are presented on the effect that the current crisis by Covid-19 can have on the increase in poverty and extreme poverty levels in Mexico in 2020.

May 5, 2020

Mexico | GDP falls 1.6% QoQ in 1Q20; a prelude to the biggest recession in recent history

Although an early deterioration in the industrial sector was expected due to the early halting of global value chains, the effect on consumption in March seems to be greater than that shown by the retail sales data to date.

April 15, 2020

Mexico | Covid-19 16th week projections: SIR b(t), ARIMA and International Comparative

Projections on the behavior of the total number of Covid-19 cases in Mexico for the 16th week of 2020, from April 15 to 19, are presented.

March 26, 2020

Mexico Regional Sectoral Outlook. First half 2020

Services slow down and industry falls in 2019. Foreign Direct Investment in the Southeast, USMCA will boost Bajío and Norte.

March 23, 2020

Mexico | 11.8 million employees excluded from health and income below the poverty line

In a context of economic recession and health crisis, the impact on the labor market is widespread, however, it has a greater impact on the most vulnerable workers with low-income levels and excluded from social security.