Regional Analysis Mexico
Regional Analysis Mexico latest publications
The estimates made by ECLAC, Coneval and BBVA Research are presented on the effect that the current crisis by Covid-19 can have on the increase in poverty and extreme poverty levels in Mexico in 2020.
May 5, 2020
Mexico | GDP falls 1.6% QoQ in 1Q20; a prelude to the biggest recession in recent history
Although an early deterioration in the industrial sector was expected due to the early halting of global value chains, the effect on consumption in March seems to be greater than that shown by the retail sales data to date.
April 15, 2020
Mexico | Covid-19 16th week projections: SIR b(t), ARIMA and International Comparative
Projections on the behavior of the total number of Covid-19 cases in Mexico for the 16th week of 2020, from April 15 to 19, are presented.
Services slow down and industry falls in 2019. Foreign Direct Investment in the Southeast, USMCA will boost Bajío and Norte.
March 23, 2020
Mexico | 11.8 million employees excluded from health and income below the poverty line
In a context of economic recession and health crisis, the impact on the labor market is widespread, however, it has a greater impact on the most vulnerable workers with low-income levels and excluded from social security.
The outbreak of Covid-19 will have a significant negative impact on economies at a global level with generalized shocks on supply and demand, therefore, we revised our GDP growth forecast to -4.5%. Fiscal objectives have to take second place; the most urgent is to underpin health systems and support workers.
Next Monday, March 9, a national strike called “A day without us (women)” will take place. The economic impact is estimated to reach 34,571 million pesos: 23,200 million pesos in paid economic activities and 11,371 million pesos for unpaid work in domestic and care activities.
The Map, Directory and Database with georeferencing of the main migrant houses, shelters and soup kitchens along the most affluent migration routes through Mexico are presented: the Route to the Northeast Border, the Route to Ciudad Juárez, and the Pacific Route.