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    BBVA Research

    Our featured publications

    May 6, 2025

    Mexico | Oil-related income falls sharply below budget in 1Q25

    The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect the HBPSBR to be 53.0% at year-end with a public deficit and PSBR of 3.8% and 4.3% of GDP, respectively.

    April 29, 2025

    Colombia | Real Estate Outlook. 2025

    BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.

    April 25, 2025

    Mexico | Manufacturing improves in 1Q25 due to early orders amid potential tariffs

    The BBVA Research Multidimensional Manufacturing Indicator recorded a (-)0.4% YoY change in March, unchanged from the figure observed in February.

    April 10, 2025

    Real Estate Outlook Mexico. First semester 2025

    Construction GDP grew 2.6% thanks to a 6.9% increase in building construction, despite the decline in other subsectors. The mortgage market increased its number of loans by 10.7%, primarily due to the recovery of affordable housing.

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    Our most recent publications

    May 8, 2025

    US | Fed likely to hold rates steady in June as it awaits clearer signals from data

    Recent softness in sentiment is not enough to shift policy as solid demand and stable jobs data support a continued pause. Attention now turns to assess whether this cautious pause could extend deeper into the second half of the year.

    May 7, 2025

    Peru | Tracking consumption with real-time data in April 2025

    The Big Data Private Consumption Index recorded a yoy growth of 11.6% in April, surpassing both the March figure (10.9%) and the result for the first quarter as a whole (Q1 2025: 8.7%).

    May 6, 2025

    Mexico | Oil-related income falls sharply below budget in 1Q25

    The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect the HBPSBR to be 53.0% at year-end with a public deficit and PSBR of 3.8% and 4.3% of GDP, respectively.

    May 6, 2025

    Spain | Regional finances in 2024 and between 2003 and 2024

    This Working Paper analyzes the trend in regional revenues and expenditure, including the sector’s budget balance and its debt position from 2003 through to the present day.

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