Searcher

BBVA Research

Our featured publications

The production of liquid hydrocarbons of Pemex Exploration and Production (PEP) in the first quarter of 2024 vs. the previous quarter showed a decrement of 36 thousand barrels a day mainly due to a lower production of superlight crude oil plus condensates by 29 thousand barrels a day.

This Observatory evaluates the factors that explain the cyclical behavior of GDP in Spain, full-time equivalent employment and productivity up to 4Q2023.

A third-in-a-row 0.4% MoM core CPI inflation reading for March following strong jobs reports added to a series of hot data that suggest a rate cut soon is off the table amid increased odds for less than three rate cuts this year.

In commemoration of International Earth Day, we present an analysis of the current water situation in Mexico. This analysis highlights the geographical, sectoral, structural, and temporary characteristics that have given rise to the current wat…

The BBVA Multidimensional Manufacturing Indicator fell (-)1.2% YoY in March (the third consecutive drop so far this year), confirming the prolonged slowdown of the sector, given the gradual slowdown in external demand for durable goods.

Asian currencies accelerated their depreciating trend recently. This report aims to understand this phenomenon and assess the associated risks.

Bank performance in 2023 was affected by a lackluster macro environment, primarily due to the downturn in the property market. Bank's housing sector exposure declining, but risks from local government financial vehicles remain concerning.

By the end of 2023, the Mexican economy grew at an annual rate of 3.2%, with an extraordinary growth of 15.6% in construction and differentiated effects at the regional level. The dynamism of services underpins growth in 2023; Wholesale and Ret…

After the local election results, we expect the maintenance of current economic policies with more aggressive tightening in the short term. Therefore, expected additional restrictive measures might generate downside risk on our short term infla…

At the end of 2023 we find opposite results in the Real Estate market. Construction presents historical results, growth rates well above the average in different indicators. The housing market is contracting with figures as of November 2023. In…

See more

Our most recent publications

Spain has committed to undertake a huge fiscal adjustment over the next few years. While the impact on the economy will depend on its composition, evidence suggests that it may be significant. Even if this is not the case, it will create social tension.

The meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are useful to gauge the health of the economy and analyze the challenges it faces. The snapshot this year has been upbeat since global growth forecasts have been revised up and the IMF has attached less importance to the myriad risks it had outlined.

In a context of a strong economy and a lack of further progress on inflation in recent months, the Fed unequivocally signaled that it can be patient and will give the restrictive monetary policy stance more time to do its job before deciding to…

Remittances to Mexico fell 3.3% in March. Thus, they culminate a streak of 46 consecutive months with growth, which lasted between May 2020 and February 2024. During this period, remittances increased in annualized terms from 38.8 billion to 63…

The consumer price index contracted 0.05% MoM in April. The result for the month is explained by supply and seasonal factors. The year-on-year rate was 2.4% (3.0% in March) within the Central Bank's target range.

See more

Most read on BBVA Research