BBVA Research

Private consumption is set to grow by 3.3% in 2025, two-tenths higher than in 2024, and by 2.5% in 2026, driven by expected increases in household disposable income and wealth. Durable goods and services will continue to lead the expansion in spending.

This report presents information on the relationship between hunger—understood as the total or partial difficulty in obtaining food due to a lack of money or resources—and the population in (or not) experiencing multidimensional poverty in Mexico.

This document presents examples of the application of AI in the field of personal finance; it also calculates the financial literacy index using language models; and BBVA Mexico's financial education staff uses AI to analyze their debit or credit card statements.

This presentation analyzes forecasts and recent developments related to the global economy, as well as other issues such as geopolitics, the US dollar and the new global financial architecture, defense in Europe, and GenAI, employment, and productivity.

Since July, a combination of interest rate volatility and the electoral outcome in the Province of Buenos Aires has generated renewed tensions in financial markets. Higher rates, exchange rate pressures and weaker confidence have led to a slowdown in economic activity.

Mexico's economy slowed by mid-2025. Growth in Q2 2025 was concentrated in primary activities (+4.5%) and services (+1.1%), while industry contracted (−1.3%). Services, particularly tourism and trade, drove stronger performances in CDMX and Baja California. The automotive sector saw declining exports due to new tariffs.